Plant Your Flag, Team Wins

Staff members look at team over/under numbers and take a stand

Based around DraftKings' Over/Under Team Win Totals, we asked our staff members to make a call on an NFL team. Who will surprise - either good or bad? Why?

Team
Over/Under
Team
Over/Under
Team
Over/Under
Team
Over/Under
Arizona
7.0
Dallas
9.5
Las Vegas
7.0
NY Jets
6.5
Atlanta
7.5
Denver
7.5
LA Chargers
7.5
Philadelphia
9.0
Baltimore
11.0
Detroit
6.5
LA Rams
8.0
Pittsburgh
9.0
Buffalo
8.5
Green Bay
8.5
Miami
6.5
San Francisco
10.5
Carolina
5.5
Houston
7.5
Minnesota
8.5
Seattle
9.5
Chicago
7.5
Indianapolis
9.0
New England
8.5
Tampa Bay
9.5
Cincinnati
5.5
Jacksonville
4.5
New Orleans
10.5
Tennessee
8.5
Cleveland
8.5
Kansas City
11.5
NY Giants
6.0
Washington
5.0

Jeff Pasquino

The Raiders - under 7

The Las Vegas will finish second in the AFC West and be a Wild Card playoff team with a 9-7 record.

Derek Carr threw for 4,000 yards last season without anything close to a go-to wide receiver. Both of his top wideouts (Tyrell Williams, Hunter Renfrow) cobbled together a little more than 600 yards receiving each - which is a paltry 40 yards per game. After adding Henry Ruggs III III and improving the defense, the Raiders should be one step closer to the postseason after a respectable 7-9 2019 campaign that was scarred early by the fiasco surrounding Antonio Brown.

The Raiders would have been a lock in my book for a playoff spot in their new Las Vegas home in a normal environment, but given that visiting teams are more likely to have a strict lockdown policy on the road this year and with no home fans, the Raiders will have much less of a home-field advantage. Even so, aside from two games with Kansas City (a team that the Raiders seem to always rise up to the occasion for), the second spot in the AFC West is wide open. Denver is working on a new offense with Drew Lock and Melvin Gordon III while the Chargers are exploring the future without Philip Rivers under center for the first time in 15 years. A second-place finish in the AFC West with one of the easier NFL schedules for 2020 https://raiderswire.usatoday.com/2020/01/06/raiders-get-breather-with-strength-of-schedule-among-nfls-easiest-in-2020/ is well within their grasp, as is a 4-2 divisional record. Throw in a 2-2 record against the AFC East with the weakest Patriot squad in years, and another 2-2 result against the NFC South (likeliest wins are over Atlanta and Carolina). The final two games (at CLE, vs. Indy) could also be wins, but that adds up to a 10-6 record. I will go one game lower and put Last Vegas at 9-7. It will likely be a very rough start with a tough first five games after Week 1 (at Carolina, then vs. NO, at NE, vs BUF and finally at KC before the Week 6 bye). Even if they start at 1-4, the schedule gets much better after their break and the Raiders will go on a second-half run, with John Gruden’s team making one more step forward to reaffirming the team’s Commitment to Excellence.

Sigmund Bloom

I'll take the Jets - under 6.5

How are the Jets going to sniff 7 wins? I know they did it last year, but two of those wins were against Washington and the Giants, this year they draw the NFC West, which doesn't have a team nearly as weak as the 2019 Washington and Giants teams. They got one win against a Bills team that had nothing to play for in Week 17. They got one win against the Steelers and the worst quarterback play in the league.

The offensive line is a mess. The Jets traded their best defensive player and their other best defensive player opted out of the season. Jeff Smith or Chris Hogan is likely to start Week 1 at wide receiver.

Consider the Jets neck and neck with the Jaguars and Panthers as your favorite to have the #1 pick next year.

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