Out of the Gate

Everybody will tell you that a win is a win, but let's face it....we all want to start 4-0.

Everybody will tell you that a win is a win, but let's face it....we all want to start 4-0. Early victories give a fantasy owner breathing space and allow for early trash talking. Additionally, winning early allows one to trade away overvalued hot players and acquire the players that can win the Championship. So what is the secret to winning early? First, you need to understand player value, but since you found this site.....we'll assume you are past that step. Equally important, though, is to analyze the first five weeks of the NFL schedule.

Many websites will publish schedule strength values, but I'll save you the time and tell you that they are mostly worthless. They usually have to do with wins the previous season which the last I checked has nothing to do with fantasy scoring. A crude method I have devised over the years is to simply use the FBG staff rankings at the defensive team position and adjust for whether the game is being played at home or away. The table below summarizes this point well:

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