It’s hard to believe we’re a week away from the NFL regular season. After spending more than four months focusing on every bit of minutiae, every tidbit, every coach’s quote, and adjusting our rankings and projections, accordingly, a lot can change from our original expectations. Here’s a quick look at some of the most significant changes from my initial thoughts back in early May.
On Second Thought…
Josh Allen (BUF) is the riskiest of the top-10 consensus quarterbacks
Allen finished QB8 last year and has a better supporting cast plus another year of experience. While that sounds like a recipe for success, Allen’s fantasy value hinges on over 1,100 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns, yet he says he’s planning on running less. Given his inaccuracy, any drop in rushing value means he’ll fall short of ADP.
Joe Burrow (CIN) has the broadest range of expected outcomes in football
We all want Joe Burrow to set the league on fire. He looks the part. He sounds the part. And he may be the part. But he also could be stuck on a team with an unproven play-caller in Zac Taylor and a bad offensive line, with his best receiver already banged up. I won’t be shocked if Burrow is a fantasy darling or a fantasy dud.
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