For The Win: Week 11

NFL picks against the Las Vegas lines.

Here we are again this year, back for more NFL picks. It is with great pleasure that I begin my second season writing this column. As someone who has won and lost their fair share of money on the NFL (and many other sports), this is bound to be a fun and unpredictable ride. Join me, won’t you?

As with the format in previous years, this article will help those of you who compete in confidence pools and in ranking selections, which may come in handy on those Las Vegas trips. Games are rated based on preference for both the point spread and other angles (such as totals or over/unders) with 1-3 “Stars”, which basically highlight the best bets for the week. Those games which have zero stars are not preferred one way or the other, but will still be covered, discussed and a winner will be predicted for those trying to get some advice for their weekly office pools.

After a disappointing Week 9, the favorites bit back in Week 10, going 11-2 straight up (SU) and 7-5-1 against the spread (ATS). Teams like New Orleans and Tampa Bay were able to cover large numbers, while the Nick Chubb decision to veer out of bounds cost some gamblers dearly, not to mention the Hail Murray in Arizona. After a wild week, it is tempting to chase losses. Instead, we must approach Week 11 with cool heads to maximize our winnings.

Note that the over/unders are taken from VegasInsider.com

(Thursday Night) ARIZONA at SEATTLE (-3) (Over/Under 58.5)

The Cardinals have hit the ‘over’ in three consecutive games. After a slow start – by their standards - to the season in terms of points, they have 32, 31, and 37 in their last three. With Kyler Murray running the show on the ground and through the air, this offense is nigh on impossible to corral – and especially for a defense as inept as Seattle’s. With the highest total on the board, Vegas is expecting fireworks in Seattle on Thursday night, and justifiably so.

The intriguing part about this match-up is how much of a downstream effect its result will have on the NFC West divisional race. The Cardinals, Seahawks, and Rams are tied at 6-3 in the standings, turning up the pressure for every divisional test. The Seahawks are laying three at home out of respect to their dominance over the years, and there is every reason to believe Russell Wilson could turn things around. If this is anything like the games Arizona has played recently, however, it will be close. Take the points and get the popcorn ready.

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