Here we are again this year, back for more NFL picks. It is with great pleasure that I begin my second season writing this column. As someone who has won and lost their fair share of money on the NFL (and many other sports), this is bound to be a fun and unpredictable ride. Join me, won’t you?
As with the format in previous years, this article will help those of you who compete in confidence pools and in ranking selections, which may come in handy on those Las Vegas trips. Games are rated based on preference for both the point spread and other angles (such as totals or over/unders) with 1-3 “Stars”, which basically highlight the best bets for the week. Those games which have zero stars are not preferred one way or the other, but will still be covered, discussed and a winner will be predicted for those trying to get some advice for their weekly office pools.
The underdogs fought back in Week 6, going 9-5 against the spread as the likes of Denver (+7.5), Atlanta (+3.5), San Francisco (+2.5) won outright. Rolling with the punches of the season, my personal record hit a mediocre 7-7 mark last week, but for the season my bets have hit 56.5% of the time. As usual, Vegas has thrown us some interesting lines to chew on in Week 7. Let’s dive in.
Note that the over/unders are taken from VegasInsider.com
(Thursday Night) NY GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA (-6) (Over/Under 45)
Playing the Eagles has not been an edifying proposition for the Giants in recent history. The last seven meetings between the teams have seen Philadelphia prevail, though interestingly the Giants have covered the spread on their last three visits to Lincoln Financial Field. Truthfully, Big Blue has not enjoyed many road trips in recent seasons, their one-point victory over the struggling Washington Football Team a reminder of how far they have yet to progress. The task, in other words, is tall for Joe Judge and his coaches on a short week.
The home team has not fared much better, though at least Carson Wentz is battling valiantly to keep his team relevant. The emergence of Travis Fulgham has been a boon, while the defense has been stout at times. One would expect Vegas to make the Eagles firm favorites against their division rivals given the recent history, so perhaps the only surprise here is that they are laying only six points. The four-day turnaround always suits the home team, and there is little to suggest the Giants have the mettle to duke it out with their NFC East foes.
More articles from Dave Larkin
IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 11
For The Win: Week 11
IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 10
More articles on: Fun
More articles on: picks
Eliminator Pool: Week 11 - Pasquino
Beating the Odds: Week 10 - Zamichieli
Eliminator Pool: Week 10 - Pasquino
More articles on: Stats