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We got together with the Footballguys staff members and asked a simple question: Which player -- generally taken in the first round -- do you least-like having on your team?
Here are their answers.
My 2020 drafting plan would not center around a wide receiver in Round 1, even in the latter part of the round due to the depth in the following rounds at the position. My avoid players are Dalvin Cook and Joe Mixon at their cost, however, due to their profiles. For Cook, I doubt he holds out to miss actual games, but I do not trust his durability and would rather bet for a fraction of the cost on Alexander Mattison than Cook himself. For Mixon, he is three years into his career and still waiting on the big breakout and the 2020 cost already assumes it has happened and/or will happen this season. Giovani Bernard was neck and neck with Mixon in targets and I have doubts the Bengals offense with a rookie quarterback is enough of a touchdown producer to offset Mixon's likely lag in receiving numbers compared to the other top backs.
Tyreek Hill is the player that I am avoiding in the first round. The Chiefs continue to add more weapons to this team by adding Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the first round which should have them more focused on the running game this season. The main reason that I can't get behind Tyreek Hill at his value is a lack of consistency. If you are taking a wide receiver in the first round, you want consistent targets and Hill only had 10 or more targets in two games last season and only went over 80 yards twice last year.
While Hill is not a pure speed receiver, he heavily relies on his speed to account for being undersized. One concern is there is a video this offseason with Hill running with Terrell Owens in which he ran a 4.37 40-yard dash. We have seen players such as DeSean Jackson and Mike Wallace start to lose production around age 26 and while Hill is a better receiver than those two it is a concern if you're paying top dollar for Hill.
The player I would be least excited to draft in the first round is DeAndre Hopkins. He should have another very good season but has some things going against him compared to most of the other guys in this range. First, Arizona projects to be a balanced offense that won't be overly reliant on passing the ball. With most of the time spent in three- or four-wide receiver sets, the ball also gets spread around more than in other offenses. Hopkins could have a hard time separating from the pack at the position if he doesn't see a huge number of targets.
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