IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 13

Dave Larkin breaks down the key clashes to target and fade for IDP production.

Each week, this column will take a critical look at key statistical trends to highlight pass rushing and tackle matchups to exploit and avoid. We'll be heavily relying on another great feature at FBG this season, the IDP Matchup Spreadsheet that will be generated by Aaron Rudnicki. That spreadsheet will contain weekly average statistical measures to help identify those defensive teams who are facing the best and worst opportunity as the season progresses. While this column will include analysis of tackle and pass rush opportunity and matchup data, it's only a fraction of the data available in the spreadsheet. We hope that the Matchup Spreadsheet and this column will join John Norton's weekly IDP projections, Doug Drinen's Matchup Analyzer Tool and our customizable MyFBG function as useful tools to assist in making weekly line-up and waiver wire decisions.

You are very welcome to the 13th edition of the IDP Matchup column here at Footballguys in the 2020 season. I have been penning this defensive diary for the past several years and I am delighted to be able to share some tidbits to help you secure a league title come December.

For those of you who don’t know me, my name is Dave Larkin. I am a veteran IDP player and what some would call a diehard fan of this game of football that we all love so much.

Defense is my passion. Over the past few years, I have assimilated countless pages of data from various sources to hone my knowledge of the defensive side of the football. Every week I will study film from the previous week’s games and provide you with nuggets of wisdom that will lead you to a championship.

With regular seasons in fantasy leagues entering their final lap, pinpointing the key match-ups and squeezing every point out of our line-ups is critical to success. With 12 weeks of data in the rearview, that task has become easier for us. At the same time, we must be mindful of changing team situations and always be willing to accept the new reality before it bites us. It is time to finish strong.

Without further ado, let’s kick off with this week’s matchups.

Pass Rushing Match-ups to Exploit

Miami pass rushers vs. Cincinnati offensive line

With Vegas installing the Dolphins as comfortable double-digit favorites over the lowly Bengals, there could be pass rushing opportunities a-plenty. Indeed, Miami’s defense has made a habit of accumulating big plays and touchdowns and there is no match-up riper for the picking than this one. Miami’s pass rush has applied pressure on 17.6% of dropbacks, recording 2.3 sacks per game. An early lead for the home team would yield an entire second half filled with Brandon Allen dropbacks – and plenty of points for Miami’s key defenders. Andrew Van Ginkel, this is your time.

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