The dust settled on the first wave of free agency and we aren't likely to see many big splash moves outside of maybe a former starting quarterback taking a job elsewhere. Who were the biggest fantasy winners and losers?
Kyler Murray, ARI - Maybe the biggest fantasy winner in all of free agency. He gains a true #1 receiver and now the Cardinals have the personnel to run Kliff Kingsbury’s offense true to its most aggressive incarnation.
Jarrett Stidham, NE - Right now he should be considered the favorite to start Week 1 for the Patriots and more than rosterable in 2QB/Superflex leagues.
Tyrod Taylor, LAC - Cam Newton or a draft pick could still torpedo Taylor’s opportunity, but all outward indications point to him being the Chargers starter this year. He is a quality runner and should at least be bye/injury/matchup filler in 1QB and startable in 2QB if the Chargers don’t make any more moves at quarterback.
Teddy Bridgewater, CAR - At least he got a starting job. Kyle Allen was a viable fantasy quarterback at times, and he spent a year on the same Saints team as Panthers offensive coordinator Joe Brady in 2018.
Marcus Mariota, LSV - Mariota got a deal that seems to contemplate the possibility of him taking over as the starter over the next two years on a team with a less than entrenched #1.
Running Back winners
David Johnson, HOU - He was left for dead in dynasty leagues and now should at least be a startable weekly RB2 with a chance to return to fantasy prominence.
Kenyan Drake, ARI - Drake stays with the team that he broke out with late last year and his main competition for touches got traded.
Jordan Howard, MIA - For now. The Dolphins should still add another back, but if it is not one of the top 5-7 in the draft, Howard’s value should be similar to Todd Gurley’s this year. The addition of Ereck Flowers and Ted Karras to the Dolphins line also helps.
Wide Receiver Winners
Marquise Brown, BAL - The Ravens had a lot more urgency to upgrade their run defense than they did to upgrade their wide receiver group despite both contributing greatly to their premature playoff exit.
Will Fuller V, Kenny Stills, Randall Cobb, HOU - The Texans will add a rookie or two, but this trio will be relied on to convert Deshaun Watson’s talent to production and points. Stills has the best chance of playing 16 games, while Fuller has the highest ceiling, but it is yet to be seen how much easier it is to defend the Texans pass offense without DeAndre Hopkins.
Emmanuel Sanders, NO - Sanders should be set up for success in an established offense and his years of experience should make the ramp up period shorter in a new offense without the benefit of an offseason.
Allen Lazard, GB - The Packers didn’t make any dramatic moves to upgrade a wide receiver group that finished the year with Lazard as the #2 option, although an early draft pick is surely joining him.
Olabisi Johnson, MIN - The Vikings are sure to draft a receiver or two, but Johnson is the WR2 for the moment.
Tight End winners
Cam Newton, FA - Newton doesn’t have much left to pick from and the lack of an offseason will make it difficult for his new team to commit to him as a starter in 2020.
Jameis Winston, FA - Winston will be a backup. His best case scenario is as a potential starter in waiting in Pittsburgh.
Andy Dalton, CIN - Dalton didn’t get traded to New England or Chicago and will probably be released sooner or later.
Running Back Losers
Phillip Lindsay, Melvin Gordon III, DEN - Gordon should still be a solid RB2 with weekly RB1 upside, but he had to be hoping for a richer deal and a less talented/accomplished partner. Lindsay certainly lost value, but he’s more 1B than backup, so he might be a buy low in dynasty.
Carlos Hyde, HOU - Hyde turned down a two-year, $10 million dollar deal from Houston that would have kept him at least rosterable in fantasy leagues, but instead will likely be lucky to be an RBBC member come Week 1.
Todd Gurley, ATL - Gurley’s 2020 outlook probably didn’t take that big of a hit with the move from Los Angeles to Atlanta, but the Rams unwillingness to lock in future guarantees had to hurt his long term value.
Wide Receiver Losers
Julian Edelman, NE - The bottom could drop out of his value if the Patriots don’t make a move at quarterback between now and the start of the regular season. You can’t replace the timing and chemistry he had built with Tom Brady.
Robby Anderson, CAR - Anderson joins up with a quarterback who isn't the boldest or most effective deep passer in Teddy Bridgewater and he won't be the #1 with DJ Moore atop the target tree. Returning to the Jets would have been a better fantasy outcome for Anderson.
Curtis Samuel, CAR - For now. And maybe Samuel will be better off if Joe Brady is wise enough to call a lot of screen, crossing patterns, and quick slants to get Samuel’s speed in play in ways other than using him to stretch defenses. Teddy Bridgewater’s lack of deep passing effectiveness is a problem for Samuel either way, but it's also an issue for Robby Anderson. Maybe a smart team will call Carolina about Samuel and he'll get a new home.
Tight End Losers
Austin Hooper, David Njoku, CLE - He’ll share with David Njoku in a likely run-first two-tight end offense for at least this year, and the Browns also have two very good wide receivers and a quality receiving back. Njoku isn’t even draftable in redraft leagues now, and he won’t have dynasty appeal unless he moves on to another team. If you like Njoku, now is the time to make an offer.
Vance McDonald, Eric Ebron, PIT - The Steelers didn’t release McDonald, but they added a pure receiving tight end in Ebron, which means McDonald should be brushing up on his blocking. Ebron joins a pass offense with three young talents at wide receiver, an aging quarterback, and another functional receiving tight end.
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