Welcome to Week 11 of the 2020 Footballguys' Roundtable. Our intrepid and oddball panel of fantasy pundits discuss and debate the Saints quarterback situation, hot and cold running backs and wide receivers, and 2021 Dynasty and Devy prospects.
Saints Quarterback Situation
Matt Waldman: Well, most of last week's panel was bullish on Drew Brees. Considering how quickly that ended, let's discuss our fantasy expectations for New Orleans while Brees is out indefinitely with a collapsed lung, rib, and shoulder injuries.
- How are you valuing Jameis Winston as a fantasy commodity? How will he differ from Brees?
- Does Taysom Hill earn an increase or decrease in value while Brees is out?
- Does this help or hurt the value of specific Saints on the offense?
Weigh-in on the Saints' remaining stable of passers.
Jason Wood: Seeing a prolonged run from Jameis Winston will be fascinating if nothing else. Teddy Bridgewater completely reinvigorated his career in four starts last year and earned a multi-year contract as the new starter for division-rival Carolina. Can Winston parlay a solid showing into his own starting role in 2021? It's possible, but it'll come down to whether Winston can prove he's fixed his flaws.
The reason teams were confident in Bridgewater is because he fixed what ailed him in Minnesota. As a Viking, he was unwilling (or unable?) to take shots downfield, but in New Orleans, he did so effectively for three of four games. In Winston's case, he'll have to prove he can be smarter with the football and avoid a mind-boggling 30 interception pace as he set in his final season in Tampa Bay.
Do I have confidence in Winston? No, I don't. Because Bruce Arians is an excellent offensive mind with a proven system, and Winston didn't change under his watch. But am I ruling it out? No.
Either way, Winston is a lesser thrower than Brees. The Saints offense will be less effective, full stop. Whether it's 10% less effective or 25% or 40% is anyone's guess.
Taysom Hill is a 30-year old with 10 CAREER completions. Can we stop trying to make him a thing?
Waldman: Talk to Sean Payton. Although I think he says what he says to troll the media for laughs.
Wood: Hopefully, Winston will throw enough to keep the Saints' offensive weapons afloat. The big question is Alvin Kamara, as Winston didn't show a propensity for dump-offs to the running backs in Tampa Bay. But he also didn't have an elite open-field weapon like Kamara.
I suspect Kamara will remain integral to the script regardless of Winston's tendencies. Michael Thomas is the X-factor. Many drafted him in the first round and have waited patiently while he nursed injuries, a one-game suspension, and a return as a decoy in the last two weeks. Will Winston latch onto Thomas in the way he did Mike Evans? It seems likely, but it's also hard to feel great given Winston's lesser accuracy versus Brees' pinpoint control.
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