WEEK 14 PLAYOFF PREPARATION
9 THOUGHTS WORTH THINKING
Some of you may disagree with these thoughts and opinions, but that's fine. I like to follow stats, trends, and matchups. These thoughts are based on those observations.
1. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks have been off lately, but relief is coming at least for one week - Seattle has lost four of their last seven games. Russell Wilson started the season with six games of three touchdown passes or more in the first seven games. He has since cooled off throwing only two touchdown passes in two of the last five games. The Jets come to town this week, who have allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks since Week 8, averaging 342 yards passing with 2.6 touchdown passes. After Week 14, Seattle will play at Washington, vs the Rams, and then home for San Francisco. Wilson is supposedly matchup-proof but if he has a rough outing vs. the Jets, the rest of his playoff schedule won't be easy.
2. Which defense should you play Week 14? - I like the Saints at Philadelphia a lot, but road defenses can sometimes be troublesome. The news of Jalen Hurts taking over is too much to ignore. He should run into some growing pains, especially against a tough Saints defense. If you can't start the Saints, another team to consider is Tampa Bay vs Minnesota. The Vikings are a different team on the road and they have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing Defense/ST units this year giving up an average of 1.0 interceptions per game and nearly a fumble loss per game (0.8). The Bucs run defense allows a league-best 54 yards rushing to running backs per game. If they stop Dalvin Cook, it will force Kirk Cousins to throw. The Bucs dominant pass rush will force him into making mistakes and poor throws. This could be a big game for the Bucs defense that could result in multiple turnovers and sacks. I still think Cousins will get yardage in this game, especially in the second half, but with it could result in some turnovers.
3. If/when you make it past Week 14, consider targeting one of these defenses for Week 15 and 16 in this week's waiver claims: