DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 8

Looking for edges in DraftKings tournaments.

All roster percentages cited below are based on Devin Knotts’ projections which are refined and updated throughout the week. Click here or use our Lineup Optimizer to make sure you are using the latest projections before setting your lineups.

Know Your Enemies

To place near the top of a large-field GPP, your roster has to stand out from the crowd in some way. Studying a list of projected roster percentages is a helpful first step, but without the context of how those players fit together under the salary cap, you’re left guessing what type of lineups you’ll be up against most frequently.

To gain some insight into how the majority of entrants will allocate their cap space, with the goal of building your lineups differently, let’s think about how the crowd will attack each position:

Quarterback

Our opponents might try spending up to Aaron Rodgers ($7,600), Russell Wilson ($7,800), and Patrick Mahomes II ($8.100), but it won’t be easy unless more value opens up at other positions. As a result, Ryan Tannehill ($6,800) profiles as the highest-priced quarterback we’ll see in common roster builds, and many will drop even lower to play the matchups with Joe Burrow ($6,200), Derek Carr ($5,500), and Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,400).

Pivot Points: Unless you think last week’s dismal performance by Cam Newton ($5,700) was an aberration (it sure didn’t look like it), viable price pivots off this week’s most popular quarterbacks are difficult to come by. One strategy to differentiate at the position is to target the quarterbacks who are opposing the chalk-plays and hope for a shootout. Baker Mayfield ($6,100) appears to be the best candidate due to the Browns’ massive advantage in the trenches over the Raiders pass-rush.

Running Back

We can safely expect Kareem Hunt ($6,900), Derrick Henry ($8,000), and the returning Dalvin Cook ($7,500) to be the crowd-favorite luxury purchases at the position. Aaron Jones ($7,300) may also factor into the RB1 mix if he’s practicing in full by Friday. Spending at RB2 and Flex should be moderate-to-low in most lineups. Myles Gaskin ($5,200) and Giovani Bernard ($5,800) are the usual suspects, though some will splurge on Jonathan Taylor ($6,600) who comes out of a bye week and into an appealing matchup against the Lions.

Pivot Points: Alvin Kamara will remain popular, but his price ($8,200) and perceived poor matchup (Chicago) should allow us to roster him at more favorable rates than usual. Assuming Tevin Coleman remains out, Jerick McKinnon ($5,700) is an intriguing price pivot off Bernard. McKinnon hardly played last week, but we later learned it was a planned rest. The crowd will shy away because he scored negative fantasy points in Week 7, but McKinnon should be reinstalled in the game plan thanks to the respective absences of Jeff Wilson and Deebo Samuel.

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