DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 3

Looking for edges in DraftKings tournaments.

All roster percentages cited below are based on Devin Knotts’ projections which are refined and updated throughout the week. Click here or use our Lineup Optimizer to make sure you are using the latest projections before setting your lineups.

Know Your Enemies

To place near the top of a large-field GPP, your roster has to stand out from the crowd in some way. Studying a list of projected roster percentages is a helpful first step, but without the context of how those players fit together under the salary cap, you’re left guessing what type of lineups you’ll be up against most frequently.

To gain some insight into how the majority of entrants will allocate their cap space, with the goal of building your lineups differently, let’s think about how the crowd will attack each position:

Quarterback

We can safely expect heavy spending at quarterback this week with Russell Wilson ($7,300) and Dak Prescott ($7,200) facing off in what should be a bonanza for fantasy scoring (over/under 55.5 points). Those who don’t spend all the way up to the top will be tempted by the high floor/high ceiling combo both Kyler Murray ($6,800) and Cam Newton ($6,700) provide. Matchup-based punt plays below $6K may include Ryan Tannehill ($5,900), Carson Wentz ($5,800), and Mitchell Trubisky ($5,700), but they will be more the exception than the rule. The majority of your opponents will invest between 13-15% of their salary cap at quarterback this week.

Pivot Points: The low-to-mid-$6K tier has a few high-upside options who should go overlooked, including pass-happy Joe Burrow ($6,200) vs. the suspect Eagles secondary, and Ben Roethlisberger ($6,400) at home against Houston’s swiss-cheese defense.

Running Back

Paying up for a quarterback (and at least one high-priced receiver to stack him with) requires sacrifice elsewhere. Last week’s injury chaos opened up several value-plays at the running back position, namely Jerick McKinnon ($4,900), Mike Davis ($5,100), and Darrell Henderson ($5,400 - if Cam Akers and/or Malcolm Brown can’t go). Expect to see one of these players in the common roster construction alongside Miles Sanders ($6,400), whose salary barely increased after he returned to a workhorse role in Week 2. Ezekiel Elliott ($8,300) and Jonathan Taylor ($7,000) can also be made to fit chalky builds without much opportunity cost. A 35-40% cap spend is likely to be the norm (assuming a running back is used at Flex).

Pivot Points: Any running back in the $7-$8K range not named Elliott or Taylor will add leverage to your lineups, including Derrick Henry ($7,800), Dalvin Cook ($7,600), and James Conner ($6,700).

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