DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 2

Looking for edges in DraftKings tournaments.

All roster percentages cited below are based on Devin Knotts’ projections which are refined and updated throughout the week. Click here or use our Lineup Optimizer to make sure you are using the latest projections before setting your lineups.

Know Your Enemies

To place near the top of a large-field GPP, your roster has to stand out from the crowd in some way. Studying a list of projected roster percentages is a helpful first step, but without the context of how those players fit together under the salary cap, you’re left guessing what type of lineups you’ll be up against most frequently.

To gain some insight into how the majority of entrants will allocate their cap space, with the goal of building your lineups differently, let’s think about how the crowd will attack each position:

Quarterback

Somehow Kyler Murray’s price dropped by $300 after he exhibited instant chemistry with DeAndre Hopkins and rushed for 91 yards against the vaunted 49ers defense. Murray’s peculiar salary and stack-ability with Hopkins all but guarantees he’ll fit the most common roster construction. The salary tier above Murray will also receive plenty of love with Josh Allen ($6,700), Dak Prescott ($6,800), and Aaron Rodgers ($6,900) each headed into excellent matchups. Expect most rosters to allocate 12-15% of their cap space to a quarterback.

Pivot Points: You won’t sneak Lamar Jackson ($8,200) and Patrick Mahomes II ($7,700) past your opponents on any slate, but Week 2 is a good time to try with roster percentages likely to concentrate in the mid-tier. The sub-$6K tier below Murray should also get glossed over by the crowd and includes several signal-callers on teams with implied totals above the 24-point threshold we should be targeting.

Running Back

Jonathan Taylor’s price ($5,700) remained stagnant in the wake of Marlon Mack’s season-ending Achilles injury. Expect Taylor to appear in plenty of lineups alongside Ezekiel Elliott ($8,200) and Derrick Henry ($7,900), each of whom has excellent matchups. If James Conner misses Week 2 due to his ankle injury, Benny Snell ($4,500) will become the most popular punt option at the position, which could cause the common roster construction to diverge. With or without Snell in play, the majority of lineups will feature a running back in the flex position, with up to 45% of the total cap devoted to running backs.

Pivot Points: Christian McCaffrey (28.4 DraftKings points) was solid but unspectacular for $10,000 last week. Fewer entrants than usual will be willing to pay the premium for McCaffrey with Elliott and Henry both in juicy spots. Building lineups that don’t include at least two of Taylor, Elliott, Henry, (and maybe Snell or Clyde Edwards-Helaire) will probably be enough to set you on the path towards creating a unique lineup.

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