DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 1

Looking for edges in DraftKings tournaments.

All roster percentages cited below are based on Devin Knotts’ projections which are refined and updated throughout the week. Click here or use our Lineup Optimizer to make sure you are using the latest projections before setting your lineups.

Know Your Enemies

To place near the top of a large-field GPP, your roster has to stand out from the crowd in some way. Studying a list of projected roster percentages is a helpful first step, but without the context of how those players fit together under the salary cap, you’re left guessing what type of lineups you’ll be up against most frequently.

To gain some insight into how the majority of entrants will allocate their cap space, with the goal of building your lineups differently, let’s think about how the crowd will attack each position:

Quarterback

Seattle at Atlanta is likely to be the marquee game on the slate for stacking purposes. The Vegas lines imply the game will be close (ATL +1.5) and high-scoring (49-point over/under). Expect to see Russell Wilson ($7,000) and Matt Ryan ($6,700) on plenty of rosters as a result. Lamar Jackson ($8,100), Tom Brady ($6,500), and Carson Wentz ($6,300) will also command attention, making it a safe bet most entrants allocate 13-15% of their salary cap to quarterbacks.

Pivot Point - The tier of quarterbacks just below $6K will get glossed over and includes more than one signal-caller whose team has a high implied point total.

Running Back

The first move most folks will make is seeing how they can squeeze Christian McCaffrey ($10,000) into lineups. Their solution will probably involve Antonio Gibson ($4,000), who is available at the running back min-price. The health of Miles Sanders’ ($6,300) hamstring is a lynchpin on this slate. If he is practicing in full on Friday, he’ll join Josh Jacobs ($6,800) on the crowd’s shortlist. Expect the field to devote at least 35% of their cap space to running backs, and more on rosters that include McCaffrey’s five-figure salary.

Pivot Point: McCaffrey, Jacobs, and Sanders will drive down the popularity of workhorse backs like Dalvin Cook ($7,900), as well as several others in the $6,500-$7,000 range.

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