Cracking FanDuel: Week 9

A weekly overview on cash game strategy, bankroll strategy, and sample cash game lineups.

SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE

A couple of key things have occurred in the last 24 hours that are worth discussing.

Keenan Allen, appears to be questionable with an illness. He has tested negative for Covid twice and is eligible to play, but is dealing with a sore throat, that is concerning. For cash games, the problem is that the drop off if he is scratched with the game being a 4PM EST game is too great as you would need to drop down to Amari Cooper, JuJu Smith-Schuster or Chase Claypool which is not something that I'm willing to do.

Ezekiel Elliott was looking doubtful, but now looking like he will be active this week which in this matchup against Pittsburgh is a clear stay-away in cash even if Elliott were ruled out and Tony Pollard was put into the lead role.

Finally, after looking into it, I'm making the change from Justin Jackson to David Montgomery. Trying to read into the situation of the Chargers publicly calling out Joshua Kelley earlier this week leads me to believe that they are trying to inspire him and he will once again have a role in this offense. David Montgomery is the same price, and will be on the field for 80% of the plays this week in a favorable matchup against Tennessee.

SITUATIONS THAT STAND OUT TO THIS WEEK ON THE MAIN SLATE.

  • Kansas City (vs CAR) – 31.5 points
  • Seattle (at BUF) – 29 points
  • Houston (at JAX) – 28.5 points
  • Minnesota (vs DET) – 28 points
  • Pittsburgh (at DAL) – 28 points

CASH GAME STRATEGY WEEK 9

Differentiating between Sites

An important topic this week is the ability to differentiate between sites especially when you are listening to podcasts, watching videos, or just digesting content. For example, you may hear a lot of Jake Luton, Chase Daniel, D’Andre Swift, some very low end Lions receivers, and even guys like James Robinson and David Johnson. These are players that are going to be primarily DraftKings players. The key here is understanding that there are two things that are causing these players to be recommended.

The first item is that in general DraftKings pricing is often tighter. The reality is that they really penalize you for going up to some of the top end players causing the lower players to be in consideration. Often times for FanDuel we can fit two or even three elite players in our lineups comfortably where that just isn’t the case on DraftKings.

The second reason is just that there is a difference in the scoring setup. With DraftKings having a full PPR setup, having a very cheap player who can catch 5 passes for 30 yards and have a chance at a touchdown has some value, whereas on FanDuel, we need more than that or a higher chance to score.

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