24 Deep Sleepers at Wide Receiver

The Footballguys staff digs deep for sleepers at wide receiver

A fantasy draft is all about obtaining the most value with each selection. There is value available throughout a draft, and grabbing it is one of the most important keys to a successful fantasy team. This article specifically targets deep sleeper value (players that can be found very late in a fantasy draft). In an attempt to point out this value, we asked our staff to look deeper than the Top 150 and identify players that should significantly outperform their late draft position. These players should be your targets after the 12th round of your draft.

Player Receiving 5 Votes

Breshad Perriman, NY Jets

Phil Alexander: Who's to say Perriman hasn't always been this good? His raw athleticism never translated in Baltimore, where injuries caused him to fall out of favor. But he helped make people believe in Baker Mayfield down the stretch in 2018 and looked like one of the league's better perimeter receivers in Tampa Bay after injuries sidelined Mike Evans and Chris Godwin last year. At the very least, Perriman (4.3 speed coming out of college) can approximate Robby Anderson's role as a deep-threat, and he brings more after-the-catch. As long as he can gel with the live-armed Sam Darnold, Perriman will have plenty of opportunities to blow past the value his current ADP implies. There isn't much standing between him and a 20% share of New York's targets.

James Brimacombe: Perriman came on strong for the Buccaneers to close out the 2019 season and as a result was offered a contract by the NY Jets and is now flirting with Jamison Crowder as the top receiver on the depth chart. The current cost on Perriman in drafts is too good to ignore for a player that will see plenty of opportunities to be the guy in New York with Sam Darnold throwing him the ball and the fact that he is coming off a career year with a 36/645/6 stat line. Darnold has his deep threat guy and if the Jets are a good, bad, or middle of the road football team it all seems to equal positives for Perriman to produce some quality numbers.

Jeff Haseley: The Jets and fantasy offense don't exactly go hand in hand, but Breshad Perriman, the former first-round pick had a strong second half to the 2019 season. Only Michael Thomas and DeVante Parker had more fantasy points in a PPR setting than Perriman from Week 13 on last year. Some of that could be due to the Buccaneers' high-volume passing offense, but at some point, we must credit Perriman for executing. Can he do it again in 2020 with the Jets? Did his confidence soar to the point where he knows he can compete with the league's best? If the answer is yes or maybe, he's worth the gamble as a receiver outside of the top 150.

Andy Hicks: It has taken a while for the former first-round pick in 2015 to find his feet in the NFL, but Breshad Perriman was on fire for the last five weeks of the 2019 season. 25 receptions, 506 yards, and five touchdowns. That doesn’t translate to production on his new team, but the opportunity is there for Perriman to become a reliable fantasy producer in 2020. How he clicks with Sam Darnold and the Jets offense will be key, but it’s not like Jets have better depth at the position than the Bucs team he left after 2019. At his current draft price, it’s almost certain he is good value and his upside is as good as his final five games of last season.

Jason Wood: Perriman's career has been forgettable, and his low ADP is entirely logical based on a summative analysis of his 4-year career. He's never finished at a top-40 fantasy receiver and will suit up for his fourth team in five seasons this year after signing a 1-year, $8 million contract with the Jets. He's not guaranteed a significant role, but the loss of Robby Anderson leaves Perriman in the pole position to be Sam Darnold's lead target on the outside. Drafting Perriman at the end of a draft isn't completely aspirational; he was dynamic for Tampa Bay last year after becoming a starter in the final month. Over those four games, Perriman caught 20 passes for 429 yards and 5 touchdowns. That equates to 80 catches, 1,716 yards, and 20 touchdowns of a 16-game schedule.

Player Receiving 4 Votes

DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia

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