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It's early July and DraftKings Sportsbook has released over 150 preseason player prop bets. The downside of these bets is your money will be locked up until the season completes, but the upside is some of these lines are extremely soft.
Link to DraftKings Player Props
To find value, I compared the DraftKings line to projections done by Bob Henry, Jason Wood, Maurile Tremblay, and myself. I know I personally have 75+ hours into my early projections and suspect both Jason, Bob, and Maurile have a similar commitment as we have been through multiple iterations already.
I took the average of our projections and compared that total to the DraftKings line. The higher the delta, the greater the value of the bet. I also recorded whether all four of us projectors were aligned on this bet as a consensus.
My Ten Favorite Bets
TE Chris Herndon, NYJ to get fewer than 600.5 receiving yards
None of us project Herndon to get over 430 yards. Herndon flashed at the end of 2018 but managed to stay healthy for just one game in 2019. TE Ryan Griffin played well in Herndon's absence and figures to cut into his production in 2020 as well.
WR Hunter Renfrow, LV to get fewer than 700.5 receiving yards
The Raiders drafted rookie WR Henry Ruggs, have an accomplished tight end in Darren Waller, and also run the ball a lot with Josh Jacobs. There may not be enough balls to catch for Renfrow to reach this lofty total.
RB Marlon Mack, IND to get more than 700.5 rushing yards
The Colts drafted Jonathan Taylor, but Marlon Mack still figures to have a large role in this offense. COVID-19 will limit practice reps and Mack has shown he can carry the load (1,091 yards on 247 carries in 14 games in 2019). He is just 24 years old and has improved his rushing totals every season.
RB Josh Jacobs, LV to get more than 1100.5 rushing yards
Jacobs managed 1,150 yards last season despite missing 3 games. At age 22 and with literally no competition for carries, he should be the centerpiece of the Las Vegas offense in 2020.
WR Justin Jefferson, MIN to get fewer than 675.5 receiving yards
In a typical year, rookie Justin Jefferson would likely get enough of preseason reps and practice time to vault into a starting gig early in the season. That seems less likely in 2020 amid COVID-19 practice restrictions. I expect the Vikings to use two tight ends as their base configuration and run the ball a lot with their dynamic backs.
WR D.K. Metcalf, SEA to get more than 850.5 receiving yards
Metcalf managed 900 yards receiving in his rookie year on just 100 targets. As his catch-rate improves (was just 58% last year), so will the targets and yards.
TE Dallas Goedert, PHI to get more than 475.5 receiving yards
Goedert managed 564 yards in his last 11 games. With a shaky wide receiver corps, expect the 25-year-old Goedert to build on his best season not regress.
WR A.J. Brown, TEN to get more than 975.5 receiving yards
He logged games of 135, 153, 114, and 124 yards from week 12 on last season. As teams load up the box to stop Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown should be able to continue to exploit single coverage deep. He managed a whopping 23.4 yards per reception in the last 8 games.
RB Leonard Fournette, JAC to get more than 850.5 rushing yards
The offseason rumors that he would be traded never materialized and Fournette remains the starting running back in Jacksonville. He managed a career-best 1,152 rushing yards in just 15 games and is just 25 years old.
RB Leonard Fournette, JAC to get more than 1200.5 rushing + receiving yards
Fournette also managed a career best 522 receiving yards (on 76 catches) in 2019 in just 15 games.
WR Tyler Boyd, CIN to get fewer than 950.5 receiving yards
Boyd had a great 2019, but it happened in the absence of A.J. Green. Green is back and John Ross continues to improve. Rookie Tee Higgins and Auden Tate also could be involved in the passing offense. Add in rookie Joe Burrows and four games against the steller defenses of the Steelers and Ravens, and there is a lot of pressure on Boyd repeating his lofty 2019 performance.
WR Michael Gallup, DAL to get more than 900.5 receiving yards
He managed 1,107 yards in just 14 games in 2019. The Cowboys added CeeDee Lamb through the draft, but Gallup might be hard to kick to the bench in a COVID-19 year.
QB Lamar Jackson, BAL to get fewer than 975.5 rushing yards
The Ravens added a running back and two wide receivers in the draft tipping their hand of wanting to use Jackson less in running situations in 2020 and beyond.
Of the other bets in the table below, I prefer betting UNDERs because many factors could derail a player's season. Namely getting hurt, benched, concussed, or even getting COVID-19 which could force a player to miss a few games.
Best of luck with your bets this season.
All of the bets analyzed:
Player
|
Category
|
Total
|
Dodds
|
Henry
|
Wood
|
Tremblay
|
Average
|
Value
|
Bet
|
Consensus
|
Chris Herndon
|
Rec Yds
|
600.5
|
403
|
430
|
430
|
348
|
402.8
|
32.9%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Hunter Renfrow
|
Rec Yds
|
700.5
|
555
|
570
|
605
|
494
|
556
|
20.6%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Marlon Mack
|
Rush Yds
|
700.5
|
813
|
800
|
920
|
813
|
836.5
|
19.4%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Josh Jacobs
|
Rush Yds
|
1100.5
|
1258
|
1330
|
1150
|
1504
|
1310.5
|
19.1%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Justin Jefferson
|
Rec Yds
|
675.5
|
546
|
655
|
500
|
493
|
548.5
|
18.8%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
D.K. Metcalf
|
Rec Yds
|
850.5
|
992
|
1030
|
955
|
995
|
993
|
16.8%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Dallas Goedert
|
Rec Yds
|
475.5
|
578
|
610
|
525
|
505
|
554.5
|
16.6%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Jalen Reagor
|
Rec Yds
|
650.5
|
474
|
560
|
670
|
476
|
545
|
16.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
A.J. Brown
|
Rec Yds
|
975.5
|
1150
|
1140
|
1100
|
1123
|
1128.3
|
15.7%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Leonard Fournette
|
Rush Yds
|
850.5
|
867
|
1020
|
925
|
1095
|
976.8
|
14.8%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Leonard Fournette
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1200.5
|
1259
|
1395
|
1245
|
1596
|
1373.8
|
14.4%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Tyler Boyd
|
Rec Yds
|
950.5
|
807
|
885
|
800
|
774
|
816.5
|
14.1%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Michael Gallup
|
Rec Yds
|
900.5
|
966
|
1050
|
995
|
1092
|
1025.8
|
13.9%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
CeeDee Lamb
|
Rec Yds
|
700.5
|
754
|
950
|
720
|
742
|
791.5
|
13.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Lamar Jackson
|
Rush Yds
|
975.5
|
839
|
840
|
925
|
791
|
848.8
|
13.0%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Jonathan Taylor
|
Rush Yds
|
700.5
|
797
|
950
|
730
|
662
|
784.8
|
12.0%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Devin Singletary
|
Rush Yds
|
800.5
|
812
|
900
|
815
|
1060
|
896.8
|
12.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Teddy Bridgewater
|
Pass TDs
|
18.5
|
21.3
|
20.5
|
20
|
20.8
|
20.7
|
11.6%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Amari Cooper
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1201
|
1150
|
1190
|
1144
|
1171.3
|
11.5%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Mike Williams
|
Rec Yds
|
800.5
|
662
|
650
|
680
|
845
|
709.3
|
11.4%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Davante Adams
|
Rec Yds
|
1150.5
|
1336
|
1225
|
1285
|
1274
|
1280
|
11.3%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Saquon Barkley
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1625.5
|
1854
|
1770
|
1790
|
1822
|
1809
|
11.3%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
D.J. Moore
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1188
|
1140
|
1120
|
1214
|
1165.5
|
10.9%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Jamison Crowder
|
Rec Yds
|
825.5
|
693
|
830
|
700
|
727
|
737.5
|
10.7%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
|
Rush Yds
|
800.5
|
673
|
755
|
750
|
700
|
719.5
|
10.1%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Anthony Miller
|
Rec Yds
|
675.5
|
700
|
725
|
730
|
817
|
743
|
10.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Teddy Bridgewater
|
Pass Yds
|
3500.5
|
3749
|
3800
|
3700
|
4046
|
3823.8
|
9.2%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Marvin Jones
|
Rec Yds
|
875.5
|
729
|
805
|
850
|
795
|
794.8
|
9.2%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Tyreek Hill
|
Rec Yds
|
1150.5
|
1350
|
1200
|
1275
|
1178
|
1250.8
|
8.7%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Deshaun Watson
|
Pass TDs
|
27.5
|
24.9
|
26
|
27
|
22.6
|
25.1
|
8.6%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Christian McCaffrey
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1900.5
|
1983
|
2065
|
1925
|
2279
|
2063
|
8.6%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Melvin Gordon
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1087
|
1205
|
1115
|
1153
|
1140
|
8.5%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Philip Rivers
|
Pass TDs
|
26.5
|
24.6
|
26
|
25
|
21.7
|
24.3
|
8.2%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Chris Carson
|
Rush Yds
|
1050.5
|
860
|
920
|
990
|
1094
|
966
|
8.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Christian McCaffrey
|
Rush Yds
|
1150.5
|
1199
|
1200
|
1200
|
1371
|
1242.5
|
8.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Jerry Jeudy
|
Rec Yds
|
750.5
|
737
|
915
|
800
|
783
|
808.8
|
7.8%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Noah Fant
|
Rec Yds
|
625.5
|
559
|
600
|
580
|
578
|
579.3
|
7.4%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Raheem Mostert
|
Rush Yds
|
850.5
|
865
|
960
|
870
|
959
|
913.5
|
7.4%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Sam Darnold
|
Pass TDs
|
22.5
|
20.7
|
21.5
|
21
|
20.3
|
20.9
|
7.2%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Josh Allen
|
Pass TDs
|
21.5
|
20.8
|
21
|
21
|
17
|
20
|
7.2%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Allen Robinson
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1181
|
1090
|
1060
|
1175
|
1126.5
|
7.2%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Mike Evans
|
Rec Yds
|
1150.5
|
1275
|
1205
|
1280
|
1172
|
1233
|
7.2%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
Pass TDs
|
26.5
|
24.6
|
26
|
26
|
21.9
|
24.6
|
7.1%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Alvin Kamara
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1450.5
|
1598
|
1510
|
1515
|
1592
|
1553.8
|
7.1%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Russell Wilson
|
Pass TDs
|
30.5
|
27.3
|
32
|
29
|
25.1
|
28.4
|
7.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Kenny Golladay
|
Rec Yds
|
1100.5
|
1271
|
1170
|
1150
|
1120
|
1177.8
|
7.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Golden Tate
|
Rec Yds
|
725.5
|
627
|
660
|
720
|
702
|
677.3
|
6.7%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Miles Sanders
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1375.5
|
1373
|
1410
|
1415
|
1670
|
1467
|
6.7%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Joe Burrow
|
Pass Yds
|
3700.5
|
3786
|
4120
|
3950
|
3927
|
3945.8
|
6.6%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Saquon Barkley
|
Rush Yds
|
1200.5
|
1296
|
1250
|
1240
|
1332
|
1279.5
|
6.6%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Jarvis Landry
|
Rec Yds
|
950.5
|
851
|
825
|
885
|
992
|
888.3
|
6.5%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Nick Chubb
|
Rush Yds
|
1275.5
|
1341
|
1460
|
1280
|
1346
|
1356.8
|
6.4%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
D'Andre Swift
|
Rush Yds
|
725.5
|
690
|
720
|
750
|
560
|
680
|
6.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Joe Mixon
|
Rush Yds
|
1150.5
|
1183
|
1260
|
1200
|
1247
|
1222.5
|
6.3%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Darren Waller
|
Rec Yds
|
900.5
|
905
|
850
|
880
|
744
|
844.8
|
6.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Jared Goff
|
Pass TDs
|
23.5
|
24.7
|
26
|
25
|
23.9
|
24.9
|
6.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Denzel Mims
|
Rec Yds
|
550.5
|
483
|
595
|
525
|
467
|
517.5
|
6.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
T.Y. Hilton
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
980
|
1075
|
975
|
929
|
989.8
|
5.8%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Marquise Brown
|
Rec Yds
|
800.5
|
816
|
860
|
855
|
856
|
846.8
|
5.8%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
JuJu Smith-Schuster
|
Rec Yds
|
1100.5
|
1043
|
1020
|
1040
|
1045
|
1037
|
5.8%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Matt Ryan
|
Pass TDs
|
27.5
|
25.7
|
28
|
27
|
23.1
|
26
|
5.6%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Cam Newton
|
Pass Yds
|
2950.5
|
3181
|
3315
|
2100
|
3868
|
3116
|
5.6%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Julian Edelman
|
Rec Yds
|
850.5
|
858
|
910
|
870
|
955
|
898.3
|
5.6%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Travis Kelce
|
Rec Yds
|
1100.5
|
1150
|
1160
|
1100
|
1233
|
1160.8
|
5.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Kareem Hunt
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
850.5
|
877
|
970
|
900
|
839
|
896.5
|
5.4%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Patrick Mahomes
|
Pass TDs
|
34.5
|
32
|
35.5
|
35
|
28.2
|
32.7
|
5.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Derek Carr
|
Pass TDs
|
19.5
|
19.9
|
21
|
16
|
17
|
18.5
|
5.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Julio Jones
|
Rec Yds
|
1300.5
|
1411
|
1415
|
1350
|
1303
|
1369.8
|
5.3%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Ryan Tannehill
|
Pass TDs
|
22.5
|
22.9
|
27
|
24
|
20.8
|
23.7
|
5.2%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Kirk Cousins
|
Pass Yds
|
3800.5
|
3636
|
3780
|
3550
|
3445
|
3602.8
|
5.2%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Drew Lock
|
Pass TDs
|
21.5
|
22.8
|
24.5
|
23
|
20.1
|
22.6
|
5.1%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Drew Brees
|
Pass Yds
|
3900.5
|
4261
|
4015
|
4165
|
3940
|
4095.3
|
5.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
DeAndre Hopkins
|
Rec Yds
|
1150.5
|
1300
|
1085
|
1300
|
1149
|
1208.5
|
5.0%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Terry McLaurin
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
951
|
1000
|
1025
|
1017
|
998.3
|
5.0%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Lamar Jackson
|
Pass Yds
|
3250.5
|
3375
|
3450
|
3375
|
3445
|
3411.3
|
4.9%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Le'Veon Bell
|
Rush Yds
|
850.5
|
762
|
875
|
840
|
760
|
809.3
|
4.9%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Drew Lock
|
Pass Yds
|
3450.5
|
3485
|
3805
|
3595
|
3560
|
3611.3
|
4.7%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Tyler Higbee
|
Rec Yds
|
700.5
|
710
|
700
|
650
|
614
|
668.5
|
4.6%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Le'Veon Bell
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1275.5
|
1180
|
1330
|
1290
|
1065
|
1216.3
|
4.6%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Tom Brady
|
Pass Yds
|
4300.5
|
4456
|
4640
|
4605
|
4280
|
4495.3
|
4.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Jimmy Garoppolo
|
Pass Yds
|
3700.5
|
3953
|
4000
|
3800
|
3702
|
3863.8
|
4.4%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Philip Rivers
|
Pass Yds
|
4000.5
|
3728
|
4190
|
3725
|
3667
|
3827.5
|
4.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Sam Darnold
|
Pass Yds
|
3600.5
|
3360
|
3690
|
3400
|
3338
|
3447
|
4.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Dak Prescott
|
Pass TDs
|
27.5
|
26
|
28
|
27
|
24.4
|
26.4
|
4.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Corey Davis
|
Rec Yds
|
600.5
|
568
|
690
|
525
|
518
|
575.3
|
4.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Derrick Henry
|
Rush Yds
|
1325.5
|
1404
|
1370
|
1350
|
1400
|
1381
|
4.2%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Ezekiel Elliott
|
Rush Yds
|
1275.5
|
1331
|
1310
|
1285
|
1382
|
1327
|
4.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
George Kittle
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1100
|
1090
|
1050
|
1123
|
1090.8
|
3.8%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Odell Beckham Jr
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1108
|
1045
|
1015
|
1193
|
1090.3
|
3.8%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Rob Gronkowski
|
Rec Yds
|
600.5
|
603
|
690
|
625
|
574
|
623
|
3.7%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Aaron Jones
|
Rush Yds
|
950.5
|
968
|
1030
|
1050
|
896
|
986
|
3.7%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Tom Brady
|
Pass TDs
|
29.5
|
28.1
|
31.5
|
29
|
25.2
|
28.5
|
3.6%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Mark Andrews
|
Rec Yds
|
900.5
|
973
|
885
|
850
|
1021
|
932.3
|
3.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Carson Wentz
|
Pass Yds
|
3900.5
|
3918
|
4025
|
4195
|
3999
|
4034.3
|
3.4%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1125.5
|
1026
|
1165
|
1135
|
1032
|
1089.5
|
3.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Alvin Kamara
|
Rush Yds
|
850.5
|
926
|
840
|
900
|
846
|
878
|
3.2%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Kyler Murray
|
Pass TDs
|
25.5
|
25.2
|
26
|
27
|
20.7
|
24.7
|
3.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Adam Thielen
|
Rec Yds
|
1100.5
|
1122
|
1025
|
1150
|
973
|
1067.5
|
3.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Cam Newton
|
Pass TDs
|
19.5
|
19.8
|
20.5
|
14
|
21.4
|
18.9
|
2.9%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Joe Burrow
|
Pass TDs
|
21.5
|
22.7
|
22
|
22
|
21.8
|
22.1
|
2.9%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Miles Sanders
|
Rush Yds
|
1000.5
|
965
|
1000
|
1040
|
1114
|
1029.8
|
2.9%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Kyler Murray
|
Rush Yds
|
475.5
|
484
|
494
|
500
|
479
|
489.3
|
2.9%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Sterling Shepard
|
Rec Yds
|
775.5
|
726
|
775
|
755
|
760
|
754
|
2.8%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Christian Kirk
|
Rec Yds
|
725.5
|
677
|
730
|
725
|
690
|
705.5
|
2.8%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Jimmy Garoppolo
|
Pass TDs
|
25.5
|
24
|
26.5
|
24
|
24.7
|
24.8
|
2.7%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Robert Woods
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
991
|
1100
|
990
|
1006
|
1021.8
|
2.7%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Drew Brees
|
Pass TDs
|
29.5
|
28.7
|
33
|
32
|
27.4
|
30.3
|
2.6%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Chris Godwin
|
Rec Yds
|
1200.5
|
1296
|
1215
|
1260
|
1158
|
1232.3
|
2.6%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Patrick Mahomes
|
Pass Yds
|
4500.5
|
4721
|
4710
|
4600
|
4427
|
4614.5
|
2.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Calvin Ridley
|
Rec Yds
|
1025.5
|
1107
|
1045
|
975
|
1078
|
1051.3
|
2.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Kenyan Drake
|
Rush Yds
|
975.5
|
900
|
1000
|
930
|
974
|
951
|
2.5%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Todd Gurley
|
Rush Yds
|
825.5
|
828
|
730
|
850
|
812
|
805
|
2.5%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Kenyan Drake
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1375.5
|
1294
|
1410
|
1295
|
1372
|
1342.8
|
2.4%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Jared Goff
|
Pass Yds
|
4325.5
|
4202
|
4490
|
4100
|
4106
|
4224.5
|
2.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Deshaun Watson
|
Pass Yds
|
4050.5
|
3981
|
3975
|
3950
|
3922
|
3957
|
2.3%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
Daniel Jones
|
Pass Yds
|
3800.5
|
3814
|
3670
|
3795
|
3576
|
3713.8
|
2.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Hunter Henry
|
Rec Yds
|
675.5
|
690
|
670
|
660
|
622
|
660.5
|
2.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
James White
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
775.5
|
703
|
755
|
775
|
800
|
758.3
|
2.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Baker Mayfield
|
Pass Yds
|
3800.5
|
3812
|
3690
|
3650
|
3728
|
3720
|
2.1%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Breshad Perriman
|
Rec Yds
|
700.5
|
729
|
730
|
800
|
603
|
715.5
|
2.1%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Diontae Johnson
|
Rec Yds
|
775.5
|
769
|
940
|
780
|
679
|
792
|
2.1%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Carson Wentz
|
Pass TDs
|
27.5
|
25.9
|
28
|
29
|
24.9
|
27
|
2.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Daniel Jones
|
Pass TDs
|
25.5
|
25
|
26.5
|
25
|
23.5
|
25
|
2.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
Pass Yds
|
3850.5
|
3851
|
3955
|
3900
|
4005
|
3927.8
|
2.0%
|
OVER
|
YES
|
Aaron Jones
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1325.5
|
1325
|
1350
|
1415
|
1319
|
1352.3
|
2.0%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Ryan Tannehill
|
Pass Yds
|
3450.5
|
3443
|
3680
|
3450
|
3482
|
3513.8
|
1.8%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Ezekiel Elliott
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1725.5
|
1778
|
1730
|
1720
|
1796
|
1756
|
1.8%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Lamar Jackson
|
Pass TDs
|
26.5
|
25.8
|
28.5
|
27
|
26.5
|
27
|
1.7%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Darrius Slayton
|
Rec Yds
|
750.5
|
744
|
780
|
765
|
763
|
763
|
1.7%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Ben Roethlisberger
|
Pass Yds
|
3800.5
|
3833
|
4110
|
3825
|
3672
|
3860
|
1.6%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Baker Mayfield
|
Pass TDs
|
24.5
|
24.6
|
27
|
24
|
20.9
|
24.1
|
1.5%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Keenan Allen
|
Rec Yds
|
1000.5
|
996
|
1015
|
985
|
1065
|
1015.3
|
1.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Ben Roethlisberger
|
Pass TDs
|
25.5
|
24.5
|
27
|
25
|
24.1
|
25.2
|
1.4%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Josh Allen
|
Pass Yds
|
3300.5
|
3461
|
3200
|
3475
|
3243
|
3344.8
|
1.3%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Matt Ryan
|
Pass Yds
|
4500.5
|
4292
|
4530
|
4500
|
4439
|
4440.3
|
1.3%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Kirk Cousins
|
Pass TDs
|
24.5
|
24.7
|
27
|
23
|
22.3
|
24.3
|
1.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Derek Carr
|
Pass Yds
|
3300.5
|
3299
|
3640
|
3335
|
3066
|
3335
|
1.0%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Cooper Kupp
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1092
|
1000
|
1010
|
1056
|
1039.5
|
1.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
D.J. Chark
|
Rec Yds
|
975.5
|
918
|
1020
|
925
|
1002
|
966.3
|
0.9%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Michael Thomas
|
Rec Yds
|
1375.5
|
1392
|
1350
|
1310
|
1502
|
1388.5
|
0.9%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Brandin Cooks
|
Rec Yds
|
850.5
|
795
|
800
|
900
|
875
|
842.5
|
0.9%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Austin Ekeler
|
Rush + Rec Yds
|
1350.5
|
1305
|
1305
|
1340
|
1502
|
1363
|
0.9%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Kyler Murray
|
Pass Yds
|
3850.5
|
3982
|
3950
|
4000
|
3594
|
3881.5
|
0.8%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Russell Wilson
|
Pass Yds
|
3900.5
|
3780
|
4030
|
3850
|
3819
|
3869.8
|
0.8%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Matthew Stafford
|
Pass Yds
|
4100.5
|
4207
|
4270
|
4075
|
3955
|
4126.8
|
0.6%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Courtland Sutton
|
Rec Yds
|
1050.5
|
1022
|
1085
|
1080
|
1038
|
1056.3
|
0.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Mark Ingram
|
Rush Yds
|
850.5
|
788
|
875
|
850
|
907
|
855
|
0.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Melvin Gordon
|
Rush Yds
|
775.5
|
746
|
825
|
775
|
770
|
779
|
0.5%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
John Brown
|
Rec Yds
|
800.5
|
792
|
800
|
800
|
797
|
797.3
|
0.4%
|
UNDER
|
YES
|
David Montgomery
|
Rush Yds
|
900.5
|
850
|
950
|
880
|
937
|
904.3
|
0.4%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
James Conner
|
Rush Yds
|
775.5
|
811
|
825
|
740
|
714
|
772.5
|
0.4%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Josh Allen
|
Rush Yds
|
525.5
|
484
|
535
|
550
|
541
|
527.5
|
0.4%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Evan Engram
|
Rec Yds
|
700.5
|
753
|
715
|
700
|
641
|
702.3
|
0.2%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Tyler Lockett
|
Rec Yds
|
1000.5
|
998
|
990
|
1000
|
1007
|
998.8
|
0.2%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Matthew Stafford
|
Pass TDs
|
26.5
|
27.5
|
28
|
27
|
23.6
|
26.5
|
0.1%
|
OVER
|
NO
|
Zach Ertz
|
Rec Yds
|
850.5
|
869
|
825
|
855
|
849
|
849.5
|
0.1%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|
Dak Prescott
|
Pass Yds
|
4275.5
|
4139
|
4405
|
4200
|
4351
|
4273.8
|
0.0%
|
UNDER
|
NO
|