Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
UPDATED FRIDAY 10/25 @ 9 PM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
LA Rams | Cincinnati | -12 | 47.5 | 29.75 | ««« | ««« | «« |
Seattle | Atlanta | -6.5 | 53 | 29.75 | ««« | ««« | |
New Orleans | Arizona | -10.5 | 48 | 29.25 | ««« | ««« | « |
Houston | Oakland | -6.5 | 51.5 | 29 | ««« | ««« | |
Minnesota | Washington | -16.5 | 41.5 | 29 | ««« | ««« | ««« |
Pittsburgh | Miami | -14 | 43 | 28.5 | ««« | ««« | ««« |
Detroit | NY Giants | -6.5 | 50 | 28.25 | ««« | ««« | |
New England | Cleveland | -11 | 45 | 28 | ««« | ««« | «« |
Green Bay | Kansas City | -4 | 47.5 | 25.75 | «« | «« | |
Tennessee | Tampa Bay | -2.5 | 46 | 24.25 | « | « | |
San Francisco | Carolina | -6 | 42 | 24 | « | « | « |
Indianapolis | Denver | -4.5 | 43 | 23.75 | « | ||
Atlanta | Seattle | 6.5 | 53 | 23.25 | |||
Jacksonville | NY Jets | -6 | 40.5 | 23.25 | «« | ||
Chicago | LA Chargers | -4 | 41 | 22.5 | « | ||
Oakland | Houston | 6.5 | 51.5 | 22.5 | |||
Buffalo | Philadelphia | -2 | 42.5 | 22.25 | |||
Kansas City | Green Bay | 4 | 47.5 | 21.75 | |||
NY Giants | Detroit | 6.5 | 50 | 21.75 | |||
Tampa Bay | Tennessee | 2.5 | 46 | 21.75 | |||
Philadelphia | Buffalo | 2 | 42.5 | 20.25 | |||
Denver | Indianapolis | 4.5 | 43 | 19.25 | |||
Arizona | New Orleans | 10.5 | 48 | 18.75 | |||
LA Chargers | Chicago | 4 | 41 | 18.5 | |||
Carolina | San Francisco | 6 | 42 | 18 | |||
Cincinnati | LA Rams | 12 | 47.5 | 17.75 | |||
NY Jets | Jacksonville | 6 | 40.5 | 17.25 | |||
Cleveland | New England | 11 | 45 | 17 | |||
Miami | Pittsburgh | 14 | 43 | 14.5 | |||
Washington | Minnesota | 16.5 | 41.5 | 12.5 |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Jared Goff (Rams), Russell Wilson (Seahawks), Teddy Bridgewater (Saints), Deshaun Watson (Texans), Kirk Cousins (Vikings), Mason Rudolph (Steelers), Matthew Stafford (Lions), Tom Brady (Patriots)
- Running Back: Todd Gurley (Rams), Chris Carson (Seahawks), Latavius Murray (Saints), Carlos Hyde (Texans), Dalvin Cook (Vikings), James Conner (Steelers), Ty Johnson/J.D. McKissic (Lions), Sony Michel/James White (Patriots)
- Receivers: Robert Woods/Brandin Cooks/Cooper Kupp (Rams), Tyler Lockett/DK Metcalf/Luke Willson (Seahawks), Michael Thomas/Ted Ginn Jr/Josh Hill (Saints), DeAndre Hopkins/Kenny Stills/Keke Coutee (Texans), Stefon Diggs/Olabisi Johnson/Kyle Rudolph (Vikings), JuJu Smith-Schuster/Diontae Johnson/Vance McDonald (Steelers), Kenny Golladay/Marvin Jones/T.J. Hockenson (Lions), Julian Edelman/Phillip Dorsett/Mohamed Sanu (Patriots)
- Defense: Vikings, Steelers
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers (Packers)
- Running Back: Aaron Jones/Jamaal Williams (Packers)
- Receivers: Davante Adams/Marquez Valdes-Scantling/Geronimo Allison/Jimmy Graham (Packers)
- Defense: Patriots, Jaguars, Rams
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Ryan Tannehill (Titans), Jimmy Garoppolo (49ers)
- Running Back: Derrick Henry (Titans), Tevin Coleman (49ers)
- Receivers: Corey Davis/A.J. Brown/Delanie Walker (Titans), Marquise Goodwin/Deebo Samuel/Dante Pettis/George Kittle (49ers)
- Defense: 49ers, Bears, Saints, Colts