#Trendspotting: Week 15

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Reader's Guide

As you read, you may run into some colors in the text. Blue text is a good matchup for that team's offensive players. Red text is a bad matchup. Some other key items are below:

  • All red/blue highlighting in tables is relative to the entire NFL, even when showing a limited number of teams.
  • All reference to fantasy points assumes DraftKings scoring rules unless otherwise specified.
  • All stats reference the full 2019 season unless otherwise specified.
  • All fantasy points rankings are on a per-game basis to account for bye weeks unless otherwise specified.

This week, we'll discuss the following topics:

Follow the Targets

This section will examine which offensive positions have the most success through the air against certain defenses.

RBs WRs TEs
Defense Tgt % YdsRk TDs Tgt % YdsRk TDs Tgt % YdsRk TDs Opponent
Arizona Cardinals 18.7% 26 4 58.8% 29 14 22.5% 32 13 Cleveland Browns
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18.0% 6 1 62.3% 32 21 19.7% 30 7 Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions 19.7% 30 8 63.6% 28 13 16.7% 16 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks 17.8% 27 1 57.5% 16 10 24.7% 31 6 Carolina Panthers
Oakland Raiders 20.9% 20 6 55.3% 25 15 23.8% 27 9 Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans 23.6% 31 7 56.3% 15 15 20.0% 22 5 Tennessee Titans
New York Giants 21.7% 24 0 58.5% 31 18 19.8% 10 6 Miami Dolphins
Tennessee Titans 23.6% 29 3 54.8% 21 10 21.6% 25 7 Houston Texans

Commentary

  • Arizona allows 183.1 yards per game to wide receivers, fourth-most in the NFL.
  • Cleveland gains 164.4 yards per game via wide receivers, 11th-most.
  • Tampa Bay allows 203.0 yards per game to wide receivers, most in the NFL.
  • Detroit gains 199.0 yards per game via wide receivers, fourth-most.
  • Tampa Bay has allowed 21 touchdowns to wide receivers, second-most.
  • Detroit opponents target wide receivers on 63.6% of pass attempts, the fourth-highest ratio in the NFL.
  • Tampa Bay targets its wide receivers on 61.6% of its pass attempts, the sixth-highest ratio.
  • Detroit allows 182.5 yards per game to wide receivers, fifth-most in the NFL.
  • Tampa Bay gains 224.8 yards per game via wide receivers, most in the NFL.
  • Oakland allows 174.1 yards per game to wide receivers, eighth-most.
  • Jacksonville gains 185.2 yards per game via wide receivers, sixth-most.
  • Tennessee allows 49.5 receiving yards per game to running backs, fourth-most.
  • Tennessee opponents target running backs on 23.6% of pass attempts, the sixth-highest ratio in the NFL.

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