#Trendspotting: Week 10

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Reader's Guide

As you read, you may run into some colors in the text. Blue text is a good matchup for that team's offensive players. Red text is a bad matchup. Some other key items are below:

  • All red/blue highlighting in tables is relative to the entire NFL, even when showing a limited number of teams.
  • All reference to fantasy points assumes DraftKings scoring rules unless otherwise specified.
  • All stats reference the full 2018 season unless otherwise specified.
  • All fantasy points rankings are on a per-game basis to account for bye weeks unless otherwise specified.

Announcement

This week, we're trying something different. We're going to be more table-heavy to provide the full picture behind each stat presented. The idea here is to provide you with more data to draw your conclusions. We'll also include the full tables for certain items as appendix sections to the article.

If the data is confusing or overwhelming, check the bottom of the article for how to get a hold of me. Twitter is the best way to get a fast response. E-mail is the better way to ask a longer question.

Of course, when there are action items, those will still be called out as usual.

Follow the Targets

This section will examine which offensive positions have the most success through the air against certain defenses.

Wide Receivers

Below are the top-10 defenses in terms of how often wide receivers are targeted against them.

DEFENSE WR Tgt% WR Rec% WR Yd%
Carolina Panthers 70.1% 66.5% 71.7%
Baltimore Ravens 68.7% 64.2% 69.7%
New England Patriots 68.7% 60.5% 63.9%
Buffalo Bills 66.9% 63.8% 66.3%
San Francisco 49ers 64.4% 58.3% 70.7%
Jacksonville Jaguars 64.3% 59.9% 67.6%
New Orleans Saints 63.2% 55.4% 67.2%
New York Giants 63.0% 62.8% 69.7%
Cleveland Browns 62.0% 57.4% 58.7%

Below are the top-10 offenses in terms of how often these teams target their wide receivers.

OFFENSE WR Tgt% WR Rec% WR Yd%
Los Angeles Rams 66.7% 66.3% 74.9%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66.4% 64.8% 72.8%
New York Jets 66.4% 63.1% 73.0%
Cincinnati Bengals 65.7% 63.7% 75.0%
Houston Texans 64.7% 66.0% 69.4%
Arizona Cardinals 62.5% 60.6% 61.1%
Cleveland Browns 62.4% 59.4% 69.6%
Miami Dolphins 61.6% 58.8% 65.3%
Seattle Seahawks 61.4% 59.5% 70.0%

Commentary and Action Items

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