#Trendspotting: Week 5

Examining player and team trends to identify valuable DFS options and start/sits in season-long leagues

Reader's Guide

As you read, you may run into some colors in the text. Blue text is a good matchup for that team's offensive players. Red text is a bad matchup. Some other key items are below:

  • All red/blue highlighting in tables is relative to the entire NFL, even when showing a limited number of teams.
  • All reference to fantasy points assumes DraftKings scoring rules unless otherwise specified.
  • All stats reference the full 2018 season unless otherwise specified.
  • All fantasy points rankings are on a per-game basis to account for bye weeks unless otherwise specified.

This week, we'll discuss the following topics:

Funnel Watch

This section will dissect how offenses gain their yards and how defenses allow them.

Pass Funnels

Team PaYd/Gm RuYd/Gm NYd/Att Yd/Rush PassYd% RushYd%
Philadelphia Eagles 323.8 62.0 7.4 3.2 83.9% 16.1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 318.3 59.3 6.6 2.9 84.3% 15.7%
Baltimore Ravens 302.0 93.5 8.2 4.9 76.4% 23.6%
New York Jets 286.7 88.7 7.0 3.6 76.4% 23.6%
"PaYd/Gm" = passing yards per game
"RuYd/Gm" = rushing yards per game
"NYd/Att" = net yards per passing attempt; factors yards lost via sacks instead of raw yards per attempt

"PassYd%" = the percentage of a team's yards gained or allowed via the pass
"RushYd%" = the percentage of a team's yards gained or allowed via the rush

Commentary

This week's pass funnel defenses don't yield many action items because the offenses opposing them are either feeble (N.Y. Jets at Philadelphia), have a hard-to-trust quarterback (Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore), or are favored so heavily that it's hard to bet on the passing game (Philadelphia vs. N.Y. Jets). But it's worth noting the funnels for future weeks.

Reverse Funnels

Team PaYd/Gm RuYd/Gm NYd/Att Yd/Rush PassYd% RushYd%
Carolina Panthers 156.8 130.8 3.9 4.9 54.5% 45.5%
Green Bay Packers 188.0 142.3 5.2 5.0 56.9% 43.1%
Denver Broncos 200.0 149.3 6.7 5.1 57.3% 42.7%
Cleveland Browns 215.3 119.8 6.1 4.6 64.3% 35.7%
"PaYd/Gm" = passing yards per game
"RuYd/Gm" = rushing yards per game
"NYd/Att" = net yards per passing attempt; factors yards lost via sacks instead of raw yards per attempt
"PassYd%" = the percentage of a team's yards gained or allowed via the pass
"RushYd%" = the percentage of a team's yards gained or allowed via the rush

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