RB2 By Committee: Updated

Finding a second starting running back by committee for 2019

This is an update to the original 2019 version for the Running Back 2 by Committee article, which focuses on the following significant changes:

1. Chris Carson's ADP has moved him up well into the RB2 range (RB18), making him far less appealing as an option. He will rarely make it past Round 4 now in most drafts.

2. Lamar Miller's ACL tear has cost him his 2019 season.

3. Duke Johnson Jr is rapidly rising the ADP charts as a result of Miller's injury, making him an intriguing option for RB2BC.

4. Variation across the RB16-RB30 ADP list since the original article (things move fast in the NFL).

Over the past several seasons, there have been quite a few very popular articles that look at an interesting approach to building a fantasy team with late value picks. Based on the theory of using both Strength of Schedule ("SOS") and taking two players as a combination to build one very good starting duo, a committee can be built as a standard fantasy league strategy. In general, this is usually a wise move for some positions where depth is not as big of a concern (usually quarterbacks and defenses) because there is rarely a need to pursue an elite option at these positions early in the beginning stages of a fantasy draft.

So with this in mind, I started to think about what else can be done with the committee approach. Tight end? Perhaps. Wide receiver? A possibility, but it might be better to look at third wide receiver options than any other option. What about running back? Hmmm, that's really intriguing. What if you could grab two running backs later in the draft that could combine to perform on an RB2 - or even RB1 - level, based solely on their current projections and their schedule? Now we're talking. This really got my attention, so I went after this one first. Let's take a look at how to evaluate this concept and then we can digest and discuss the results.

THE GROUND(GAME) RULES

So how to begin? Defenses and quarterbacks are relatively easy to committee together. There's usually only one quarterback and certainly only one team defense per NFL club, so the approach is pretty simple as far as picking out which players/teams to try and pair up. When it comes to running backs, the line is not quite so easy to draw, but I needed some basis to pick which players it made sense to try and combine for a decent committee. I decided that I would use the following criteria to decide which players to start with for evaluating:

CRITERIA #1 - RB25 AND BEYOND

This seems pretty simple. If we want to have a duo that puts up RB2 numbers, that means we want RB24 or better production - else we would just draft RB24 (Mark Ingram II) or higher and forget the whole idea. So here is the list of players with which I started, based on their Average Draft Position (ADP):

ADP Rank
Running Back
ADP Rank
Running Back
ADP Rank
Running Back
RB22
RB37
RB49
RB23
RB38
RB50
RB24
RB39
RB51
RB25
RB40
RB52
RB26
RB41
RB53
RB27
RB42
RB54
RB28
RB43
RB55
RB29
RB44
RB56
RB30
RB45
RB57
RB31
RB46
RB58
RB32
RB47
RB59
RB33
RB48
RB60
RB34
RB35
RB36

Table 1: Running Backs RB22-RB60 Based on PPR ADP

Late August update - The list of RB2BC candidates was opened up to include RB22-RB60. With Mark Ingram II, Sony Michel and David Montgomery's ADPs all moving quite a bit. If Ingram, Michel or Montgomery are personal favorites and they fall to Round 6 in your draft, go ahead and take them and just use the following tables to find the best RB2BC complementary running back options.

Great, now we have 39 guys to pair up and see how they do. That makes 702 potential committees, so there had better be a decent one (or several, we hope) out of all of those couplets. Now, before I go over the method of how to pair them up and the results, we need one more rule:

CRITERIA #2 - NO MORE THAN ONE RB FROM ROUND 5 AND ONE FROM ROUND 6

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