Against The Spread Pool: Week 3

Footballguys' staff pick NFL games against the Las Vegas point spread

Over the past few years, we have given the subscribers of Footballguys.com the Staff Confidence Pool Challenge, where numerous staffers try and pick the winners each week with a confidence ranking, and Dave Larkin’s “For The Win” column where Jeff attempts to pick each and every NFL game against the Las Vegas spread. Both of these have been very popular features, so once again this year Footballguys is proud to bring you the combination of the two - the Footballguys' staff "Against the Spread Pool Challenge". Multiple staff members (19) will pick the winner of each NFL game against the Las Vegas line. As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Against the Spread Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices.

Please note, that this contest should NOT be viewed as direct sports wagering advice, especially later in the season. Since the staff is trying to beat one another, picks may be made to go against the grain in an attempt to try and catch up in the standings. This example of game theory is more in tune towards playing a contest such as this - so again, do not use these picks as direct advice towards which games to pick each and every week. Rather, use these picks to see the top choices each week, especially by the staff members towards the top of the standings.

LAST WEEK'S RESULTS

Here are the results from last week:

Road Team:
TB
LAC
IND
JAC
SF
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
ARI
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
Home Team:
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
NYG
MIA
WAS
GB
PIT
BAL
OAK
DEN
LAR
ATL
NYJ
Favorite:
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
Point Spread:
-6.5
-2.5
-3.5
-8.5
-0.5
-2.5
-18.5
-4.5
-2.5
-3.5
-13.5
-8.5
-1.5
-2.5
-0.5
-2.5
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
LW
Total
Aaron Rudnicki
TB
LAC
IND
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
SEA
ARI
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
46
12
22
Keith Roberts
CAR
LAC
IND
JAC
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
SEA
ARI
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
NYJ
47
11
18
Andy Hicks
TB
DET
IND
JAC
CIN
NYG
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
ARI
KC
DEN
NO
ATL
NYJ
41
10
20
Phil Alexander
TB
LAC
IND
HOU
CIN
BUF
MIA
DAL
GB
SEA
BAL
OAK
CHI
LAR
ATL
CLE
39
10
18
James Brimacombe
TB
LAC
IND
JAC
SF
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
PIT
ARI
OAK
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
47
10
17
Alessandro Miglio
TB
LAC
TEN
JAC
CIN
NYG
MIA
DAL
GB
PIT
ARI
OAK
CHI
LAR
ATL
CLE
47
9
19
Andrew Garda
CAR
DET
IND
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
DEN
LAR
PHI
CLE
45
9
18
Matt Bitonti
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
SEA
ARI
OAK
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
54
9
16
Sean Settle
CAR
LAC
IND
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
ARI
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
44
9
16
Jeff Pasquino
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
SEA
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
45
9
15
Jeff Haseley
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
ARI
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
NYJ
41
8
18
Mark Wimer
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
MIA
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
NO
ATL
CLE
72
8
17
Devin Knotts
TB
LAC
IND
JAC
CIN
NYG
NE
WAS
GB
PIT
ARI
OAK
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
45
8
16
Clayton Gray
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
ATL
NYJ
41
8
11
Danny Tuccitto
TB
DET
TEN
HOU
SF
BUF
NE
WAS
MIN
PIT
BAL
KC
DEN
NO
ATL
NYJ
49
7
18
Dave Larkin
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
MIA
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
DEN
LAR
ATL
NYJ
43
7
18
Jason Wood
CAR
LAC
IND
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
PIT
ARI
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
NYJ
47
7
11
Justin Howe
CAR
DET
IND
HOU
CIN
NYG
MIA
DAL
MIN
SEA
ARI
OAK
DEN
LAR
PHI
NYJ
44
6
16
William Grant
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
NYG
NE
WAS
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
42
6
12

The second week of the season proved to be even better than Week 1 for the staff, which makes some sense with one game under our collective belts. The staff had a very strong performance overall with five of our writers reaching double-digits for correct picks on the week, led by Aaron Rudnicki's 12 correct picks. Keith Roberts (11) was one game behind, and Andy Hicks, Phil Alexander and James Brimacombe rounding out the Top 5 with a 10-6 record on the week. The loss by the Bengals (17 of the 19 staff picks were on Cincinnati) was nearly canceled out by the win (and cover) by Dallas (16 of 19 staff were on the Cowboys). Five other contents tipped the scales in the staff's favor, as the 13 correct picks on Kansas City along with 14 more wins on Houston, Buffalo, New England and Chicago helped the group to a 163-141 record (53.6%) for Week 2, raising the season-long record to 316-308 (50.6%). This is a strong performance but keep in mind that this slight winning record is still not good enough to beat the Las Vegas house advantage, which requires a "winning record" to be profitable to be over 52.3%.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

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