Here we are again this year, back for more NFL picks. It is with great pleasure that I take the reins from Jeff Pasquino after writing a guest edition last year. As someone who has won and lost their fair share of money on the NFL (and many other sports), this is bound to be a fun and unpredictable ride. Join me, won’t you?
As with the format in previous years, this article will help those of you who compete in confidence pools and in ranking selections, which may come in handy on those Las Vegas trips. Games are rated based on preference for both the point spread and other angles (such as totals or over/unders) with 1-3 “Stars”, which basically highlight the best bets for the week. Those games which have zero stars are not preferred one way or the other, but will still be covered, discussed and a winner will be predicted for those trying to get some advice for their weekly office pools.
A 9-5 record last week, following on from a 10-3 record the week prior, is a nice return and a good omen for the remainder of the season. Hopefully, you’ve been coming along for the ride – and the profits. The season is meandering toward its conclusion, but there are still plenty of changing situations and intriguing spots to exploit. Let’s stay aggressive heading into Week 12.
The bye teams this week are the Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings, and Cardinals.
Note that the over/unders are taken from VegasInsider.com
(Thursday) INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON (-3.5) (Over/Under 47)
The week starts off with a bang as two of the AFC’s contenders face off on Thursday Night Football. The 6-4 Colts, looking revitalized after Sunday’s home win that saw them nullify the Jaguars, face off against the equally 6-4 Texans, who suffered an embarrassing defeat to the Ravens (no shame in that, but the manner of the loss will have stung). Only a few weeks ago the Colts defeated the Texans 30-23, so this is an especially important clash for the home team. Bill O’Brien will be aware that a loss here would almost certainly relegate his team to a wildcard battle for the rest of the season.
On the face of it, this feels like an excellent bounce-back spot for the Texans. Not many pundits expected such a shellacking in Baltimore, granted, but most teams will lose there. Houston still controls its own destiny in a soft AFC playoff picture, but they can’t afford too many slip-ups. While Jacoby Brissett has helped to steady the ship for Indianapolis, he simply doesn’t have the talent to go throw for throw with Deshaun Watson. The home team needs it more – and they should get it in prime time.
DENVER at BUFFALO (-5) (Over/Under 36.5)