For The Win: Week 7

Dave Larkin makes picks against the spread for this week's games

Here we are again this year, back for more NFL picks. It is with great pleasure that I take the reins from Jeff Pasquino after writing a guest edition last year. As someone who has won and lost their fair share of money on the NFL (and many other sports), this is bound to be a fun and unpredictable ride. Join me, won’t you?

As with the format in previous years, this article will help those of you who compete in confidence pools and in ranking selections, which may come in handy on those Las Vegas trips. Games are rated based on preference for both the point spread and other angles (such as totals or over/unders) with 1-3 “Stars”, which basically highlight the best bets for the week. Those games which have zero stars are not preferred one way or the other, but will still be covered, discussed and a winner will be predicted for those trying to get some advice for their weekly office pools.

Week 6 was yet another wild and wacky one, with favorites being toppled and teams who many were not fully convinced by delivering phenomenal performances. Week 7 promises to be every bit as intriguing, with several marquee match-ups. A theme you will notice as the weeks go on is the lines getting sharper or, to put it another way, more difficult to decipher due to the precision of the number.

The bye teams this week are Carolina, Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland.

Note that the over/unders are taken from VegasInsider.com

(Thursday) KANSAS CITY (-3.5) at DENVER (Over/Under 49)

Two teams trending in opposite directions meet in a suddenly intriguing Thursday Night Football clash. The only wrinkle is that the roles have been well and truly reversed; the Chiefs are stuttering horribly off a two-game losing streak, while the Broncos are bucking, wild and resurgent. Only two wins separate the teams in the standings, placing added importance on this crucial divisional clash that could turn the once 0-4 Broncos into division title contenders.

The line for this game reflects the respect Kansas City has accrued on its recent run, but this team has many flaws. Patrick Mahomes II’ ankle injury is clearly affecting his ability to extend plays and chuck balls downfield with timing and accuracy. The defense is not up to the task and lacks true difference makers. The offensive line is allowing a lot of pressure, exacerbating matters for the hobbled Mahomes. Denver has a prime opportunity on a short week to keep up the momentum.

Pick: Denver

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