Why Josh Allen Is Only a Deep League Target

A detailed examination of why Josh Allen is deservedly falling into the bottom tier of draftable quarterbacks. 

More Sleepy Than Sleeper

The fantasy world is obsessed with a pair of young, rushing quarterbacks – Lamar Jackson (Baltimore) and Kyler Murray (Arizona) – but seems less interested in Josh Allen, who also set the fantasy world on fire as a rookie thanks to his legs. Why is Allen being discounted while the other two are touted as potential league winners? And is the disparity justified?

The Bills’ second-year starter is coming off the board very late, with an ADP of QB22. At that price, very few fantasy managers are assuming Allen can improve on last year’s per-game stats. Yet, few quarterbacks are at their best as rookies. Also, the Bills front office did everything in its power to bolster Allen’s chances of success. They added considerable depth at receiver, reshaped the offensive line, and improved at running back and tight end. It’s feasible Allen could be on the field with as many as six new starters when the season gets underway.

The good news is prodigious rushing totals can make a not-so-good quarterback into a fantasy asset. The bad news is Allen’s rushing totals are hard to extrapolate as sustainable, and his passing numbers as a rookie leave much to be desired.

In leagues that don’t penalize harshly for turnovers, Allen is a viable QB2 target late in drafts because of his rushing abilities. But don’t overpay, and don’t mistakenly bucket him with Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson – they deserve to have higher price tags.

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