DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 11

Looking for edges in DraftKings tournaments.

KNOW YOUR ENEMIES

To place near the top of a large field GPP, your roster has to stand out from the crowd in some way. Knowing which players will command the highest ownership is a helpful first step, but without the context of how those players can fit together under the salary cap, it’s difficult to project the type of lineups you’ll be up against most frequently.

Sometimes, the clearest path to creating a unique roster is to allocate more of your salary cap to the positions your opponents are not. To gain some insight into how most other entrants are likely to think as they construct their rosters, with the goal of building yours differently, consider these bullets:

  • There are three marquee games on this week’s slate our opponents will attack with games stacks -- Saints at Buccaneers (over/under 50.5), Falcons at Panthers (o/u 50.5), and Texans at Ravens (o/u 50). Expect the key members of each team’s passing game to command heavy ownership, along with the running backs in Atlanta and Carolina. Paths to contrarian exposure to these games include New Orleans’ secondary wide receivers, O.J. Howard, Ronald Jones II, and the short-area pass-catchers who will receive a bump in targets due to Austin Hooper’s injury (namely slot receiver Russell Gage and backup tight end Jaeden Graham).

  • Lamar Jackson ($7,700), Drew Brees ($6,900), Dak Prescott ($6,700), and to a lesser extent, Deshaun Watson ($6,800) and Jameis Winston ($6,500), will ensure the majority of the crowd spends up at quarterback. But unlike in recent weeks, there will be popular punt options as well. The low salaries of Kyle Allen’s ($5,300) pass-catchers should boost his ownership, while some might even be tempted to go all the way down to Jeff Driskel ($4,600) at home against the Cowboys. Those who punt the position will most likely do so to fit two running backs priced at $8.9K or more, or one luxury running back along with Michael Thomas ($9,900).

  • Running back is top-heavy with McCaffrey ($10,500), Ezekiel Elliott ($9,000), and Dalvin Cook ($8,900) all in great spots. But the moderately-priced Josh Jacobs ($6,900) appears to be this week’s chalk, at home vs. Cincinnati's forgiving rush defense. Further down the salary list, Brian Hill ($4,600) will cause an ownership pile-up as he presumably steps into a three-down-plus-goal-line role for Atlanta. Assuming an expensive quarterback is the standard, pairing Jacobs and Hill allows the choice of paying up to McCaffrey at flex or Thomas at WR1.

  • Wide receivers like Amari Cooper ($7,700), Julio Jones ($7,500), Mike Evans ($7,400), and Chris Godwin ($7,300) will appear in plenty of lineups, but there is no room to fit them next to Thomas in the common roster construction. D.J. Moore’s price ($5,900) has yet to catch up to his back-to-back 100+ yard games, making him a glaring point-per-dollar value. Deebo Samuel’s salary ($4,000) wasn’t adjusted after his 11-8-112-0 breakout game on Monday night and it appears Emmanuel Sanders will scratch along with George Kittle. The easiest path to a contrarian lineup might be as simple as avoiding the wide receiver core of Thomas, Moore, and Samuel.

  • Kittle and Austin Hooper are out with injuries, while Hunter Henry and Travis Kelce face off on Monday Night Football. It leaves Mark Andrews ($6,100) and Darren Waller ($5,500) as the clear spend-up options and each fits under the cap easily enough assuming Hill, Moore, and Samuel are in the same lineup. Dropping down to Greg Olsen ($3,900) will be a popular way to leave more salary for the flex position and defense/special teams.

  • There is value on the slate but making it work with McCaffrey and Thomas’ exorbitant salaries requires paying down at defense. The Cardinals ($1,500) will garner more ownership in a road matchup with San Francisco than they have any right to. On the higher side, Minnesota ($3,400) looks like a relative bargain as double-digit home favorites against Brandon Allen and the visiting Broncos. Otherwise, ownership shouldn’t be a concern in your choice of DSTs.

Already have a Footballguys account? Sign in here:

Want to see the rest?

Become a Daily Fantasy Pro to view the full version of this page.

Satisfaction Guaranteed

"Footballguys is the best premium
fantasy football only site on the planet."

Matthew Berry, ESPN

With our 30-day
Money Back Guarantee
you have nothing to lose