Each week I take a look at every NFL game in an attempt to identify players that can be stacked together to maximize value in GPP play at FanDuel and DraftKings. I examine spreads and totals for each game as well as the implied totals and blend that with the likeliest script that these games will follow. In doing so, I attempt to find players that can pay dividends for your lineup. In some cases, I will also provide a pivot within the stack to another player and give reasons as to why a pivot might make sense. You can use this information as a guide, and you will have multiple options to help you to sort through the noise while you put lineups together that can offer a degree of security.
Note: I will be using last year’s statistics (DVOA and team stats from nfl.com) as data points in the article. Rosters have changed, and there are new players and schemes to consider, but it gives us a peek at something tangible while 2019 data is collected.
FanDuel: Winston ($7,500) + Evans ($7,900) = $15,400
DraftKings: Winston ($6,600) + Evans ($7,900) = $14,500
Facing 2018 No. 27 ranked DVOA pass defense - 2018 No. 11 ranked pass defense allowing 233.2 yards per game
Game Total - 50
Implied Totals - Buccaneers at 25.5 points and 49ers at 24.5 points
Game Line - Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers bring the San Francisco 49ers to town on Sunday for an NFC matchup in Week 1. This matchup has shootout potential as both teams struggled on defense last year, and both teams have offenses that can easily out points on the board.
The 49ers are vulnerable through the air, and Evans has established himself as the No. 1 target in the Buccaneers passing attack. Evans will see plenty of targets, and he has a chance to have a big game to open the season. He wins in the vertical game, and new head coach Bruce Arians’ scheme fits Evans’ game to a tee.
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