A fantasy draft is all about obtaining the most value with each selection. There is value available throughout a draft, and grabbing it is one of the most important keys to a successful fantasy team. This article specifically targets deep sleeper value (players that can be found very late in a fantasy draft). In an attempt to point out this value, we asked our staff to look deeper than the Top 150 and identify players that should significantly outperform their late draft position. These players should be your targets after the 12th round of your draft.
Player Receiving 7 Votes
Derek Carr, Oakland
James Brimacombe: Carr has five full seasons under his belt with finishing as the 20th, 15th, 14th, 20th, and 18th ranked fantasy seasons. There is nothing spectacular in those numbers but entering 2019 he arguably has the best talent around him than what he has had the previous five seasons. With Antonio Brown, Tyrell Williams, and Josh Jacobs all added to the offense his passing touchdowns of 19 from a year ago should drastically increase.
David Dodds: Derek Carr set career highs in passing yards (4,089), completion percentage (68.9), and yards per attempt (7.32) despite playing with a subpar group of pass-catchers in 2018. The Raiders were active in free agency adding offensive line strength (Trent Brown) while significantly improving the pass catchers (Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams). With a defense that looks to be one of the worst in the league, Derek Carr should have plenty of opportunities to throw the ball this season.
Will Grant: Oakland deserves to be mocked after the train-wreck they had for the 2018 season. But a solid rookie running back and new blood at wide receiver, including Antonio Brown, and the Raiders should have plenty to be excited about this season. No, I’m not taking Carr as my starter, but in leagues where quarterbacks fly off the board, Carr is a guy who always seems to be there in the late rounds. He’s worth a pick that late for sure, and could become a spot-starter by the middle of the season.
Jeff Haseley: Derek Carr finished as QB9 after Week 12 last year and now he has Antonio Brown and a young eager running back in Josh Jacobs. Carr is an ideal QB3 in superflex leagues and he's worth monitoring for others. Most leagues he'll go undrafted, but there is potential for him to outperform his ADP and perhaps be a mid-late season waiver claim. Carr has 121 career touchdown passes with only 53 interceptions (+68), which is pretty impressive. He has never missed more than one game in a season and has never exceeded 13 interceptions in any year.