2016: Thomas Rawls is a consensus fourth-round draft pick in fantasy leagues despite receiving double-digit carries in only six games for the Seahawks the prior season. He finishes 2017 ranked 57th at running back.
2017: Ty Montgomery’s average draft position soars to Round 3 based largely on three fantasy-relevant performances late in the previous year. He promptly faceplants with an RB55 finish.
2018: Alex Collins routinely goes in the fourth round of drafts after coming out of nowhere to take over as Baltimore’s starter in Week 6 of the 2017 season. Collins, you’ll recall, ended last season as the RB37.
Many consider Damien Williams this year’s leading candidate to go from small-sample superstar to early-round trap. Before totaling 572 yards from scrimmage and eight touchdowns in the Chiefs final five games last year (playoffs included), Williams was a former undrafted free agent with a non-descript four-year NFL career. It took both Kareem Hunt’s shocking release and an injury to second-stringer Spencer Ware before Kansas City’s coaching staff even let him on the field.
But the late-season outburst was enough for Chiefs running back coach Eric Bienemy to name Williams the team’s starter entering 2019, leaving us with a difficult choice. Is Williams worthy of his lofty ADP (late-second round and rising as of this writing), or is he merely the next in a long line of unproven running backs to become a cautionary tale for fantasy gamers?
The evidence points overwhelmingly towards Williams being properly valued at worst, and undervalued at best, for several reasons:
Want to see the rest?
Enter your email below to become a FREE Insider and unlock the full version of this page.
You will receive our Daily Email Update
with the latest news and fantasy analysis.
We will never spam you. Ever.
Unsubscribe at any time.
"Footballguys is the best premium
fantasy football only site on the planet."
Matthew Berry, ESPN
Money Back Guarantee
you have nothing to lose
More articles from Phil AlexanderSee all
DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 12
DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 11
DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 10
More articles on: AnalysisSee all
Beating the Odds: Week 12 - Zamichieli
#Trendspotting: Week 12 - Zamichieli
Monkey Knife Fight Player Props, Week 12 - Hindery