Each fantasy football season the landscape of the skill positions change. One year offers more depth, while another turns into a studs and duds feel with the available player pool. Dissecting key drop off points in a position's average draft position (ADP) is critical to maximizing draft day value. Here are the key pivot points for 2019 at quarterback:
The Mahomes tier
Regression or historical outlier is the bounced around question regarding Patrick Mahomes II this offseason as the clear QB1 off fantasy draft boards for 2019. The Chiefs were a juggernaut offense last season and Mahomes was the uber-talented trigger man. Tyreek Hill avoided suspension and Kansas City added Carlos Hyde, Darwin Thompson, and Mecole Hardman of note to their arsenal of weapons.
Drafting the QB1 allows for minimal margin for error, especially in a year where quarterback is as deep as any in recent memory (more in the next section or two). While Mahomes' mid-August ADP (Average Draft Position) is the mid-Round 2 zone, there will be plenty of home/casual leagues were he is gone in Round 1 and the expert variety where he lasts until Round 3-4. With plenty of cornerstone running backs and wide receivers in Round 2 (plus possibly Travis Kelce depending on draft position), the opportunity cost for Mahomes is rich unless he is the unquestioned QB1 producer in 2019.