Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 2

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Eighteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last-minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

So we are off to an interesting start. Last year in Week 1 we had an NFL tie and a tie in the confidence pool. This year we also started with an NFL tie and a tie in the confidence pool. In the case of an NFL tie, since this office pool has no spread, a tie means all staffers lose the confidence points for this week since no team actually won. Since the Detroit and Arizona game ended in a tie, no points were awarded for that game.

In the case of a pool tie, we go to the total points of the last Monday Night game. In that game, Oakland defeated Denver 24-16. That resulted in 40 total points scored and gave Andrew Garda the win with his spot-on correct pick of 40 total points. Garda had 12 correct picks and received 115 confidence points for his weighting of those picks. Alex Miglio had 11 correct picks, but because of his confidence weighting, he also had 115 points which forced us to go to the tie-breaker. A great start to the season. Well done!

Away Team
GB
BAL
ATL
KC
WAS
TEN
BUF
LAR
CIN
IND
DET
NYG
SF
PIT
HOU
DEN
Home Team
CHI
MIA
MIN
JAC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
CAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
NE
NO
OAK
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Points
Garda
GB
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
TB
NE
NO
OAK
40
115
11
13
10
9
14
12
5
7
15
8
3
2
1
16
6
4
Miglio
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
NE
NO
OAK
51
115
5
14
6
13
15
8
3
7
16
12
1
11
4
10
9
2
Knotts
GB
BAL
ATL
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
TB
NE
NO
DEN
45
113
6
16
4
15
14
8
5
7
13
12
3
9
2
11
10
1
Pasquino
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
SF
NE
NO
DEN
47
113
6
15
4
12
14
9
5
7
16
10
1
11
3
8
13
2
Roberts
CHI
BAL
ATL
KC
PHI
CLE
BUF
LAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
SF
NE
NO
DEN
42
113
6
12
1
11
15
9
3
7
16
14
5
13
4
8
10
2
Settle
GB
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
NE
NO
DEN
38
112
2
16
9
15
11
8
7
12
14
13
1
10
3
4
6
5
Larkin
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
BUF
CAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
SF
NE
NO
DEN
44
111
10
14
7
9
16
6
4
3
15
12
5
11
2
8
13
1
Brimacombe
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
NE
NO
OAK
41
109
6
14
7
8
16
9
5
1
15
10
4
13
3
2
12
11
Davenport
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
TB
NE
NO
DEN
34
108
8
13
5
12
16
7
6
3
14
11
1
15
2
10
9
4
Tuccitto
GB
BAL
ATL
KC
PHI
CLE
BUF
CAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
SF
PIT
NO
DEN
49
105
5
9
3
12
15
11
4
2
16
13
8
10
7
1
14
6
Buzzard
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
CAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
SF
NE
NO
DEN
48
105
8
13
5
6
16
9
7
1
15
14
4
12
3
11
10
2
Haseley
GB
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
CAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
SF
NE
NO
DEN
42
104
6
13
9
14
15
12
11
2
16
7
4
10
1
5
8
3
Wood
GB
BAL
MIN
JAC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
TB
NE
HOU
DEN
43
103
8
10
9
2
16
11
7
6
15
14
5
13
3
12
1
4
Grant
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
NE
NO
DEN
44
103
5
11
6
9
16
12
3
8
15
13
7
10
4
1
14
2
Bitonti
CHI
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
CAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
NE
NO
DEN
48
101
2
8
10
11
12
14
3
4
16
15
5
13
6
9
7
1
Gray
CHI
BAL
ATL
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
LAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
PIT
NO
DEN
37
100
7
14
3
10
16
8
6
9
13
11
4
15
5
2
12
1
Wimer
GB
BAL
MIN
KC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
CAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
SF
NE
NO
OAK
49
91
11
10
9
8
7
12
13
16
6
5
4
14
3
2
15
1
Hicks
CHI
BAL
MIN
JAC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
CAR
SEA
LAC
DET
DAL
TB
NE
NO
OAK
44
81
13
10
15
7
16
12
11
6
9
8
1
14
5
4
3
2
Away
GB
BAL
ATL
KC
WAS
TEN
BUF
LAR
CIN
IND
DET
NYG
SF
PIT
HOU
DEN
Total Pts
49
225
11
174
0
0
11
74
0
0
28
0
23
3
1
34
Home
CHI
MIA
MIN
JAC
PHI
CLE
NYJ
CAR
SEA
LAC
ARI
DAL
TB
NE
NO
OAK
Total Pts
76
0
111
9
260
177
97
34
255
202
38
206
38
121
171
20
Tot Conf Pts
125
225
122
183
260
177
108
108
255
202
66
206
61
124
172
54

As mentioned above, due to the tie - there were 66 total confidence points lost by the leaderboard for that game. The Cleveland loss was also big because everyone on the board picked the Browns as their winner. 117 confidence points were lost in that game as well. The losses by the Bears and the Jets resulted in 173 total confidence points lost.

OVERALL RANKINGS

We will use this section to track the overall leaderboard for the season. Since this is only the first week, the results are the same.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Garda
115
115
Miglio
115
115
Knotts
113
113
Pasquino
113
113
Roberts
113
113
Settle
112
112
Larkin
111
111
Brimacombe
109
109
Davenport
108
108
Tuccitto
105
105
Buzzard
105
105
Haseley
104
104
Wood
103
103
Grant
103
103
Bitonti
101
101
Gray
100
100
Wimer
91
91
Hicks
81
81

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Away Team
TB
LAC
IND
JAC
SF
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
ARI
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
MNF
Home Team
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
NYG
MIA
WAS
GB
PIT
BAL
OAK
DEN
LAR
ATL
NYJ
TOTAL
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
NYG
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
ATL
NYJ
46
11
2
9
12
8
4
16
13
7
6
15
14
10
5
3
1
Davenport
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
ATL
CLE
57
11
4
10
13
8
7
16
12
3
6
14
15
9
5
2
1
Garda
CAR
DET
IND
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
DEN
LAR
PHI
CLE
45
14
1
9
11
7
10
16
13
4
12
8
15
3
2
6
5
Hicks
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
NYG
NE
DAL
MIN
PIT
BAL
KC
DEN
LAR
ATL
NYJ
41
14
1
13
12
2
5
16
10
7
6
15
11
8
9
4
3
Gray
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
ATL
NYJ
41
12
10
6
14
5
7
16
11
8
4
15
13
9
3
1
2
Tuccitto
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
SF
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
PIT
BAL
KC
DEN
NO
ATL
NYJ
49
12
1
11
14
7
8
16
10
6
9
15
13
2
5
3
4
Larkin
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
DEN
LAR
ATL
CLE
43
12
5
11
13
7
6
16
14
10
9
15
8
4
3
2
1
Knotts
CAR
LAC
IND
HOU
SF
NYG
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
45
13
15
1
14
2
7
16
12
8
3
11
10
4
6
5
9
Brimacombe
CAR
LAC
IND
HOU
SF
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
47
13
12
1
11
2
6
16
14
5
9
15
10
8
4
3
7
Wood
CAR
LAC
IND
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
NYJ
47
13
10
6
12
8
5
16
15
7
4
14
11
3
2
9
1
Haseley
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
NYJ
44
10
7
12
13
9
8
16
6
4
3
14
15
11
5
2
1
Pasquino
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
45
14
8
10
13
1
3
16
11
5
4
15
12
9
2
7
6
Roberts
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
NYJ
47
11
10
6
15
9
5
16
13
1
4
14
12
8
3
7
2
Wimer
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
NO
ATL
CLE
72
10
5
9
12
4
8
15
11
3
2
14
13
7
16
6
1
Bitonti
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
54
13
11
10
14
9
3
15
12
1
2
16
8
7
6
5
4
Settle
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
BAL
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
44
9
10
5
12
4
2
16
13
1
6
15
14
11
7
8
3
Buzzard
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
42
12
3
9
14
1
5
16
10
8
11
15
13
6
7
2
4
Grant
CAR
LAC
TEN
HOU
CIN
BUF
NE
DAL
GB
PIT
BAL
KC
CHI
LAR
PHI
CLE
44
12
8
10
14
1
4
16
11
7
2
15
13
6
9
3
5
Away
TB
LAC
IND
JAC
SF
BUF
NE
DAL
MIN
SEA
ARI
KC
CHI
NO
PHI
CLE
Total Pts
0
97
17
0
11
87
286
211
23
12
0
220
108
39
57
46
Home
CAR
DET
TEN
HOU
CIN
NYG
MIA
WAS
GB
PIT
BAL
OAK
DEN
LAR
ATL
NYJ
Total Pts
216
26
131
233
83
16
0
0
72
90
255
0
17
60
21
14
Tot Conf Pts
216
123
148
233
94
103
286
211
95
102
255
220
125
99
78
60

HEAVY FAVORITES

This week, thanks to some big Las Vegas lines - there are a lot of heavy favorites. New England and Baltimore are the clear front runners with everyone in the pool picking them to win and both team receiving over 250 confidence points each. The Patriots were the #1 pick for 17 of the staff with Matt Bitonti selecting them as his #2. Carolina, Houston, Dallas, and Kansas City were all picked by everyone in the staff pool to win their games.

DUAL SUPPORT

The remainder of the NFL contests all have their clear 'favorites', but the final three games of the week were the closest contests to pick. The Saints-Rams rematch favors the home team, but the game was the closest from a confidence pick - 60 for the Rams and 39 for the Saints. Philadelphia and Cleveland are road favorites this week, but the Falcons and Jets both received a few confidence points. These two contests had the lowest total confidence points allocated to their games with the Eagles-Falcons receiving just 78 total points and the Browns-Jets game being the lowest of the week with just 60.

ODDS AND ENDS

If your office pool tracks points for the overall-season winner, keep in mind that every week and every game counts. Over the years, within the Footballguys Staff, the overall winner was not decided until the final week and in some cases the winner was determined by just one game in week 17. Stay focused, make sure your picks are always in and you'll stay competitive the entire year.

Good luck this weekend!