Tracking ADP Risers and Fallers is one way we can try to stay ahead of the field in Best Ball this offseason as we will have a better handle on ADP and where to find values as the news comes in. I will continue this process throughout the NFL offseason to help us in our Best Ball drafting leading up to the start of the season. In this report we can compare players ADP pre- Free Agency to post Free Agency as most of the Risers and Fallers are a result of landing spots by specific players.
The process in coming up with ADP Risers and Fallers is rather simple as in this example below I took ADP numbers from DRAFT on 3/19 and 4/2 and found the difference either +/-. The players who scored a lower ADP on 4/2 would be in the Risers category and the players who scored a higher ADP on 4/2 compared to 3/19 would be in the Fallers category.
Feel free to reach out to me on Twitter with any questions. Happy Drafting!
Top 10 ADP Risers
1. Isaiah Crowell RB +65.7 ADP -- Crowell is an easy one as the biggest riser as he signed with the Raiders in a backfield that has little depth right now.
2. Mike Davis RB +61.9 ADP -- With Jordan Howard being shipped off to Philadelphia, the Bears backfield is now down to two competitive backs and Davis looks to be slotted into the Howard role which produced 18 touchdowns over the past two seasons.
3. Ryan Fitzpatrick QB +30.1 ADP -- The Dolphins may be in tank mode but signing Fitzpatrick will keep them competitive on offense as he showed last year in Tampa Bay that he can make big plays down the field.
6. Kenny Stills WR +27.2 ADP -- With the addition to Fitzpatrick at QB, the Dolphins are suddenly relevant once again and everyone on the offense is getting a boast.
9. Randall Cobb WR +20.2 ADP -- It will be interesting to see how much Cobb has left in the tank but the Cowboys gave him a 1-year contract and he will serve as the teams WR3.
Now let's dive into some of the ADP Fallers over the past 2 weeks. A lot of the names on this list are in regards to free agents not being signed yet or others that were directly effected by others signing.
Top 10 ADP FALLERS
1. Rob Gronkowski TE -116.6 ADP -- Gronkowski finally announced his retirement after rumors of it have been surfacing over the past two seasons.
2. TJ Yeldon RB -43.1ADP -- This one is a surprising no signing in FA. Yeldon looked to be a nice running back on paper but with no bites in free agency it makes you think there might be more to the story on him not receiving a contract.
3. CJ Anderson RB -41.0 ADP -- Now with the Lions signing him we will see Anderson's ADP start to slowly go in the other direction.
4. Gus Edwards RB -37.7 ADP -- The Mark Ingram II news has shook up the entire Ravens backfield as far as ADP goes. Giving Ingram big money makes for alot of question marks for Edwards and Dixon behind him now in Baltimore.
6. Robert Foster WR -23.6 ADP -- Foster might lose some snaps now with the crowded WR corps in Buffalo but he could still have some appeal in the late rounds.
7. Antonio Callaway WR -22.4 ADP -- The Browns are now crowded with talent on offense and Callaway is now buried on the depth chart.
8. Jerick McKinnon RB -19.6 ADP -- The 49ers backfield is crowded right now and with McKinnon still recovering from his ACL injury the risk is too great right now to take a high draft pick on him.
9. Jay Ajayi RB -17.3 ADP -- As of today, Ajayi remains unsigned and if that remains the case going forward his ADP will continue to take a dip.
10. Doug Baldwin WR -16.4 ADP -- The news of Baldwin being banged up and require additional surgeries has people scared off at the moment.