Vegas Value Chart: Week 17

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SUNDAY 12/30 @ 8 AM (EST)

TeamOpponentOddsTeam TotalGame TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Kansas City Oakland -14 33.25 52.5 +++ +++ +
Pittsburgh Cincinnati -14.5 30 45.5 +++ +++ +++
New England NY Jets -13.5 30 46.5 +++ +++ ++
LA Rams San Francisco -10.5 29.5 48.5 +++ +++ +
Atlanta Tampa Bay -2 27 52 ++ ++
Green Bay Detroit -8 26.75 45.5 ++ +++ +
Seattle Arizona -13 25.75 38.5 + ++ +++
Tampa Bay Atlanta 2 25 52 + +
New Orleans Carolina -7 25 43 + ++ +
Baltimore Cleveland -6.5 24.75 43 + + +
Philadelphia Washington -6.5 24.25 42 + + ++
LA Chargers Denver -6.5 24 41.5 + + ++
NY Giants Dallas -6 23.5 41 ++
Indianapolis Tennessee -3 23.5 44
Houston Jacksonville -7 23.5 40 ++
Minnesota Chicago -5.5 23 40.5 ++
Buffalo Miami -5 22.25 39.5 ++
Tennessee Indianapolis 3 20.5 44
Oakland Kansas City 14 19.25 52.5
San Francisco LA Rams 10.5 19 48.5
Detroit Green Bay 8 18.75 45.5
Cleveland Baltimore 6.5 18.25 43
Carolina New Orleans 7 18 43
Washington Philadelphia 6.5 17.75 42
Chicago Minnesota 5.5 17.5 40.5
Dallas NY Giants 6 17.5 41
Denver LA Chargers 6.5 17.5 41.5
Miami Buffalo 5 17.25 39.5
Jacksonville Houston 7 16.5 40
NY Jets New England 13.5 16.5 46.5
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 14.5 15.5 45.5
Arizona Seattle 13 12.75 38.5



SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR