Vegas Value Chart: Week 16

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SUNDAY 12/23 @ 8 AM (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Team Total Game Total Passing Running Team Defense
New Orleans Pittsburgh -6.5 29.75 53 +++ +++
LA Rams Arizona -14 29 44 +++ +++ +++
New England Buffalo -13.5 29 44.5 +++ +++ +++
Indianapolis NY Giants -9.5 28.75 48 +++ +++ +
Kansas City Seattle -2 28.5 55 +++ +++
Dallas Tampa Bay -7 27.5 48 ++ +++
Cleveland Cincinnati -9.5 26.75 44 ++ +++ ++
Seattle Kansas City 2 26.5 55 ++ ++
Green Bay NY Jets -3 25 47 + +
Minnesota Detroit -6.5 24.75 43 + + +
Philadelphia Houston -2.5 24.75 47 + +
Tennessee Washington -11.5 24.75 38 + + +++
Chicago San Francisco -4.5 24.25 44 + + +
Atlanta Carolina -3 23.75 44.5
LA Chargers Baltimore -4 23.25 42.5 +
Pittsburgh New Orleans 6.5 23.25 53
Denver Oakland -3 22.5 42 +
Houston Philadelphia 2.5 22.25 47
NY Jets Green Bay 3 22 47
Miami Jacksonville -3.5 20.75 38 ++
Carolina Atlanta 3 20.75 44.5
Tampa Bay Dallas 7 20.5 48
San Francisco Chicago 4.5 19.75 44
Oakland Denver 3 19.5 42
Baltimore LA Chargers 4 19.25 42.5
NY Giants Indianapolis 9.5 19.25 48
Detroit Minnesota 6.5 18.25 43
Cincinnati Cleveland 9.5 17.25 44
Jacksonville Miami 3.5 17.25 38
Buffalo New England 13.5 15.5 44.5
Arizona LA Rams 14 15 44
Washington Tennessee 11.5 13.25 38


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR