Vegas Value Chart: Week 14

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SUNDAY 12/9 @ 8 AM (EST)

TeamOpponentOddsTeam TotalGame TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
New Orleans Tampa Bay -10 32 54 +++ +++
LA Chargers Cincinnati -15 31.5 48 +++ +++ ++
Pittsburgh Oakland -10 30.5 51 +++ +++
Kansas City Baltimore -6.5 28.75 51 +++ +++
New England Miami -8 28.25 48.5 ++ ++
Green Bay Atlanta -4.5 27.75 51 ++ ++
LA Rams Chicago -3 27 51 ++ ++
Houston Indianapolis -4 27 50 ++ ++
Denver San Francisco -3.5 24.25 45 + +
Carolina Cleveland -1 24.25 47.5 + +
Seattle Minnesota -3 24.25 45.5 + +
Chicago LA Rams 3 24 51 + +
Dallas Philadelphia -3 24 45 + +
Cleveland Carolina 1 23.25 47.5
Atlanta Green Bay 4.5 23.25 51
Indianapolis Houston 4 23 50
Baltimore Kansas City 6.5 22.25 51
Tampa Bay New Orleans 10 22 54
Detroit Arizona -3 21.75 40.5 +
NY Giants Washington -3 21.5 40 +
Minnesota Seattle 3 21.25 45.5
Tennessee Jacksonville -5.5 21.25 37 +++
Philadelphia Dallas 3 21 45
Buffalo NY Jets -4 20.75 37.5 ++
San Francisco Denver 3.5 20.75 45
Oakland Pittsburgh 10 20.5 51
Miami New England 8 20.25 48.5
Arizona Detroit 3 18.75 40.5
Washington NY Giants 3 18.5 40
NY Jets Buffalo 4 16.75 37.5
Cincinnati LA Chargers 15 16.5 48
Jacksonville Tennessee 5.5 15.75 37

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR


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