Vegas Value Chart: Week 13

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SUNDAY DECEMBER 2nd @ 7 AM (EST)

TeamOpponentOddsTeam TotalGame TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Kansas City Oakland -14 34.5 55 +++ +++
LA Rams Detroit -10 32.25 54.5 +++ +++
New Orleans Dallas -7.5 29.5 51.5 +++ +++
Carolina Tampa Bay -3 28.25 53.5 +++ +++
Seattle San Francisco -10 28 46 +++ +++ +
Green Bay Arizona -13.5 27.5 41.5 ++ ++ +++
Pittsburgh LA Chargers -3 27.25 51.5 ++ ++
New England Minnesota -5 27.25 49.5 ++ ++
Houston Cleveland -5.5 26.5 47.5 ++ ++
Philadelphia Washington -6 25.5 45 + + +
Indianapolis Jacksonville -4 25.5 47 + +
Atlanta Baltimore -2.5 25.5 48.5 + +
Tampa Bay Carolina 3 25.25 53.5 + +
Tennessee NY Jets -10 25.25 40.5 + ++ +++
Denver Cincinnati -5 25 45 + + +
LA Chargers Pittsburgh 3 24.25 51.5 + +
Chicago NY Giants -3.5 23.75 44
Baltimore Atlanta 2.5 23 48.5
Detroit LA Rams 10 22.25 54.5
Minnesota New England 5 22.25 49.5
Dallas New Orleans 7.5 22 51.5
Miami Buffalo -3.5 21.75 40 +
Jacksonville Indianapolis 4 21.5 47
Cleveland Houston 5.5 21 47.5
Oakland Kansas City 14 20.5 55
NY Giants Chicago 3.5 20.25 44
Cincinnati Denver 5 20 45
Washington Philadelphia 6 19.5 45
Buffalo Miami 3.5 18.25 40
San Francisco Seattle 10 18 46
NY Jets Tennessee 10 15.25 40.5
Arizona Green Bay 13.5 14 41.5



SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR