Vegas Value Chart: Week 12

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SATURDAY 11/24 @ 7 PM (EST)

TeamOpponentOddsTeam TotalGame TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
New Orleans Atlanta -12.5 36.75 61 +++ +++
Indianapolis Miami -8 29.75 51.5 +++ +++
LA Chargers Arizona -13.5 28.75 44 +++ +++ +++
Tampa Bay San Francisco -2.5 28.25 54 +++ +++
New England NY Jets -10 28.25 46.5 ++ +++ +
Baltimore Oakland -11 26.75 42.5 ++ +++ +++
Philadelphia NY Giants -5 26.5 48 ++ ++
San Francisco Tampa Bay 2.5 25.75 54 + +
Minnesota Green Bay -3 25.25 47.5 + +
Pittsburgh Denver -3 25 47 + +
Carolina Seattle -3 24.5 46 + +
Atlanta New Orleans 12.5 24.25 61 + +
Cincinnati Cleveland -1.5 24 46.5 + +
Dallas Washington -7 23.5 40 ++
Houston Tennessee -4.5 23 41.5 +
Chicago Detroit -3 22.75 42.5 +
Cleveland Cincinnati 1.5 22.5 46.5
Green Bay Minnesota 3 22.25 47.5
Denver Pittsburgh 3 22 47
Miami Indianapolis 8 21.75 51.5
Seattle Carolina 3 21.5 46
NY Giants Philadelphia 5 21.5 48
Jacksonville Buffalo -3 20 37 ++
Detroit Chicago 3 19.75 42.5
Tennessee Houston 4.5 18.5 41.5
NY Jets New England 10 18.25 46.5
Buffalo Jacksonville 3 17 37
Washington Dallas 7 16.5 40
Oakland Baltimore 11 15.75 42.5
Arizona LA Chargers 13.5 15.25 44


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR


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