Vegas Value Chart: Week 5

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SUNDAY 10/7 @ 7:00 AM (EST)

TeamOpponentOddsTeam TotalGame TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Pittsburgh Atlanta -3 30.25 57.5 +++ +++
New England Indianapolis -10.5 30.25 50 +++ +++ +
New Orleans Washington -6 29.5 53 +++ +++
LA Chargers Oakland -5 28.75 52.5 +++ +++
LA Rams Seattle -7.5 28.75 50 +++ +++
Atlanta Pittsburgh 3 27.25 57.5 ++ ++
Cincinnati Miami -6 27 48 ++ ++
Detroit Green Bay -1 26 51 ++ ++
Kansas City Jacksonville -3 25.5 48 + +
Green Bay Detroit 1 25 51 + +
Carolina NY Giants -6.5 25 43.5 + ++ +
Philadelphia Minnesota -3 25 47 + +
Baltimore Cleveland -3 24.25 45.5 + +
Houston Dallas -3 24.25 45.5 + +
Oakland LA Chargers 5 23.75 52.5
Washington New Orleans 6 23.5 53
Tennessee Buffalo -5.5 22.75 40 ++
Jacksonville Kansas City 3 22.5 48
Minnesota Philadelphia 3 22 47
San Francisco Arizona -3 21.75 40.5 +
NY Jets Denver -1 21.75 42.5
Seattle LA Rams 7.5 21.25 50
Cleveland Baltimore 3 21.25 45.5
Dallas Houston 3 21.25 45.5
Miami Cincinnati 6 21 48
Denver NY Jets 1 20.75 42.5
Indianapolis New England 10.5 19.75 50
Arizona San Francisco 3 18.75 40.5
NY Giants Carolina 6.5 18.5 43.5
Buffalo Tennessee 5.5 17.25 40


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR