Vegas Value Chart: Week 4

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SUNDAY 9/30 7:30 AM (EST)

TeamOpponentOddsTeam TotalGame TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Kansas City Denver -4 29.25 54.5 +++ +++
Atlanta Cincinnati -3.5 28.25 53 +++ +++
LA Chargers San Francisco -10 28 46 +++ +++ ++
LA Rams Minnesota -7 28 49 +++ +++
New England Miami -6.5 27.75 49 ++ ++
New Orleans NY Giants -3 27.75 52.5 ++ ++
Pittsburgh Baltimore -3 27 51 ++ ++
Green Bay Buffalo -9.5 26.75 44 ++ +++ ++
Denver Kansas City 4 25.25 54.5 + +
Chicago Tampa Bay -3 24.75 46.5 + +
Cincinnati Atlanta 3.5 24.75 53 + +
NY Giants New Orleans 3 24.75 52.5 + +
Indianapolis Houston -1 24.25 47.5 + +
Baltimore Pittsburgh 3 24 51 + +
Oakland Cleveland -2.5 23.5 44.5
Dallas Detroit -2.5 23.25 44
Jacksonville NY Jets -7.5 23.25 39 + +++
Houston Indianapolis 1 23.25 47.5
Philadelphia Tennessee -3 22 41 +
Tampa Bay Chicago 3 21.75 46.5
Seattle Arizona -3.5 21.5 39.5 ++
Miami New England 6.5 21.25 49
Minnesota LA Rams 7 21 49
Cleveland Oakland 2.5 21 44.5
Detroit Dallas 2.5 20.75 44
Tennessee Philadelphia 3 19 41
Arizona Seattle 3.5 18 39.5
San Francisco LA Chargers 10 18 46
Buffalo Green Bay 9.5 17.25 44
NY Jets Jacksonville 7.5 15.75 39

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR


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