Ultimate Strength of Schedule, WRs - Footballguys

An in-depth look at the strength of schedule for wide receivers

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the 16 best offenses while Defense B faced the 16 worst offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).

EXPLANATION OF USOS TABLES

Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

The "2018" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value can be used to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value can be used to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W01" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W05 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The blue values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. The red values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column.

(Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

In short:

  • Blue is a team with a good schedule
  • Red is a team with a bad schedule

ULTIMATE STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE - Wide Receivers

Team
2018
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona
30.3
2
5
27.8
29.1
31.6
29.9
29.0
Atlanta
32.3
5
3
32.5
31.8
31.1
33.2
34.1
Baltimore
31.4
3
5
27.5
29.3
32.2
33.8
31.7
Buffalo
32.3
7
4
28.2
30.7
34.0
33.3
33.6
Carolina
31.6
2
3
30.4
30.8
32.1
31.1
32.2
Chicago
32.2
5
2
31.6
33.0
33.0
31.2
32.3
Cincinnati
31.8
5
4
32.2
32.4
32.4
29.6
31.7
Cleveland
31.5
5
6
33.9
31.9
32.4
29.6
26.8
Dallas
31.7
4
3
32.4
33.2
31.0
34.0
34.9
Denver
31.2
4
5
29.2
31.7
32.0
31.1
29.6
Detroit
31.7
5
4
33.1
33.5
31.8
29.7
31.1
Green Bay
30.7
2
3
28.9
29.6
31.1
31.2
32.1
Houston
31.2
5
4
33.0
33.6
30.2
33.1
29.7
Indianapolis
31.4
5
4
28.1
30.6
30.9
34.0
33.4
Jacksonville
33.5
7
2
33.0
34.0
34.4
32.3
33.0
Kansas City
29.1
0
8
31.3
29.1
28.5
28.2
29.6
LA Chargers
30.5
2
6
30.7
31.0
31.1
30.1
29.8
LA Rams
31.0
1
2
29.7
29.9
31.8
29.6
30.6
Miami
31.7
5
4
33.2
31.9
32.0
29.2
27.9
Minnesota
31.6
4
2
31.8
30.4
31.1
32.7
32.4
New England
32.8
8
3
31.3
32.9
32.9
32.6
32.4
New Orleans
31.4
4
6
32.5
31.4
29.3
35.3
34.5
NY Giants
31.8
4
3
31.6
32.6
31.7
32.3
34.4
NY Jets
31.7
5
4
32.7
29.9
30.5
33.1
34.5
Oakland
30.6
4
7
29.6
29.4
31.2
29.3
30.1
Philadelphia
31.9
4
6
34.2
33.4
31.3
32.3
30.2
Pittsburgh
30.2
3
7
34.6
32.1
28.5
32.3
31.0
San Francisco
30.8
2
4
33.1
31.5
30.4
28.5
28.7
Seattle
31.0
3
4
29.7
29.3
30.3
32.9
32.9
Tampa Bay
31.1
2
3
32.3
31.4
30.7
31.2
30.1
Tennessee
31.3
6
5
32.1
30.9
31.1
28.2
31.6
Washington
32.6
5
1
33.3
33.3
33.4
30.4
29.5
NFL Average
31.4
4
6
31.4
31.4
31.4
31.4
31.4

Week-By-Week Look

Team
W01
W02
W03
W04
W05
W06
W07
W08
W09
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
W16
W17
Ari
27.5
27.0
28.9
30.1
32.2
30.2
26.6
32.2
-
36.4
31.0
27.9
34.6
32.8
30.0
27.0
30.1
Atl
29.5
34.8
33.3
27.3
34.0
37.3
32.2
-
27.5
30.0
33.7
33.3
26.6
34.6
30.2
34.8
37.3
Bal
28.6
27.3
26.6
34.0
30.0
34.2
33.3
34.8
34.0
-
27.3
31.0
30.0
36.4
37.3
27.9
30.0
Buf
26.6
27.9
30.2
34.6
34.2
36.2
35.2
32.6
28.9
34.6
-
24.8
35.3
34.6
32.8
32.6
35.3
Car
33.7
30.0
27.3
-
32.2
27.5
29.5
26.6
37.3
34.0
32.8
30.1
37.3
30.0
33.3
30.0
33.3
Chi
34.6
30.1
30.2
37.3
-
35.3
32.6
34.6
28.6
32.8
30.2
32.8
32.2
27.0
34.6
32.2
30.2
Cin
35.2
26.6
34.8
30.0
35.3
34.0
36.4
37.3
-
33.3
26.6
30.0
26.6
27.9
31.0
30.0
34.0
Cle
34.0
33.3
34.6
31.0
26.6
27.9
37.3
34.0
36.4
30.0
-
27.3
36.2
34.8
26.6
27.3
26.6
Dal
34.8
32.2
30.1
32.8
36.2
24.8
27.5
-
34.2
29.5
30.0
27.5
33.3
29.5
35.2
37.3
32.2
Den
30.1
31.0
26.6
36.4
34.6
27.0
30.2
36.4
36.2
-
27.9
34.0
27.3
32.2
30.0
31.0
27.9
Det
34.6
32.2
32.6
33.7
34.6
-
35.3
30.1
30.2
28.9
34.8
28.9
27.0
30.2
28.6
30.2
34.6
GB
28.9
30.2
27.5
28.6
32.8
32.2
-
27.0
32.6
35.3
30.1
30.2
30.2
30.0
28.9
34.6
32.8
Hou
32.6
34.2
32.2
35.2
33.7
28.6
24.8
35.3
26.6
-
27.5
34.2
30.0
35.2
34.6
29.5
24.8
Ind
27.3
27.5
29.5
36.2
32.6
34.6
28.6
31.0
-
24.8
34.2
35.3
24.8
36.2
33.7
32.2
34.2
Jac
32.2
32.6
34.2
34.6
36.4
33.7
36.2
29.5
-
35.2
34.0
28.6
35.2
34.2
27.5
35.3
36.2
KC
27.9
34.0
32.2
26.6
24.8
32.6
27.3
26.6
30.0
30.2
27.0
-
31.0
26.6
27.9
30.1
31.0
LAC
36.4
28.6
27.0
32.2
31.0
30.0
34.2
-
30.1
31.0
26.6
30.2
34.0
27.3
36.4
26.6
26.6
LAR
31.0
30.2
27.9
30.2
30.1
26.6
32.2
34.6
33.3
30.1
36.4
-
32.8
28.9
29.5
30.2
32.2
Mia
34.2
34.6
31.0
32.6
27.3
28.9
32.8
36.2
34.6
34.6
-
35.2
28.6
32.6
30.2
24.8
28.6
Min
32.2
34.6
28.6
27.0
29.5
30.2
34.6
33.3
32.8
-
28.9
34.6
32.6
30.1
35.3
32.8
28.9
NE
36.2
24.8
32.8
35.3
35.2
36.4
28.9
28.6
34.6
34.2
-
34.6
30.2
35.3
34.0
28.6
34.6
NO
37.3
30.0
30.0
32.2
27.5
-
26.6
30.2
27.0
27.3
29.5
30.0
33.7
37.3
34.8
34.0
34.8
NYG
24.8
33.7
36.2
33.3
34.8
29.5
30.0
27.5
-
32.2
37.3
29.5
28.9
27.5
34.2
35.2
33.7
NYJ
32.8
35.3
30.0
24.8
26.6
35.2
30.2
28.9
35.3
28.6
-
32.6
34.2
28.6
36.2
34.6
32.6
Oak
27.0
26.6
35.3
30.0
27.9
30.1
-
35.2
32.2
27.9
30.2
26.6
36.4
34.0
27.3
26.6
36.4
Phi
30.0
37.3
35.2
34.2
30.2
32.2
34.8
24.8
-
33.7
33.3
32.2
27.5
33.7
27.0
36.2
27.5
Pit
30.0
36.4
37.3
26.6
30.0
27.3
-
30.0
26.6
34.8
24.8
26.6
27.9
31.0
32.6
33.3
27.3
SF
30.2
32.8
36.4
27.9
30.2
34.6
27.0
30.2
31.0
32.2
-
37.3
30.1
26.6
30.1
28.9
27.0
Sea
26.6
28.9
33.7
30.2
27.0
31.0
-
32.8
27.9
27.0
34.6
34.8
32.2
30.2
32.2
36.4
30.2
TB
33.3
29.5
34.0
28.9
-
30.0
30
27.3
34.8
27.5
32.2
32.2
34.8
33.3
26.6
33.7
30.0
Ten
35.3
36.2
24.8
29.5
28.6
26.6
27.9
-
33.7
32.6
35.2
36.2
34.6
24.8
32.2
27.5
35.2
Was
30.2
35.2
34.6
-
33.3
34.8
33.7
32.2
30.0
37.3
36.2
33.7
29.5
32.2
24.8
34.2
29.5
Avg
31.4
31.4
31.4
31.4
31.3
31.3
31.3
31.4
31.8
31.6
31.2
31.4
31.4
31.4
31.4
31.4
31.4