Ultimate Strength of Schedule, LB - Footballguys

An in-depth look at the strength of schedule for linebackers

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the 16 best offenses while Defense B faced the 16 worst offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown 
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).

EXPLANATION OF USOS TABLES

Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

The "2018" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value can be used to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value can be used to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W01" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W05 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team.

(Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule

ULTIMATE STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE - LINEBACKERS

Team
2018
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona 30.9 1 5 31.7 30.9 30.7 30.5 30.5
Atlanta 31.6 3 4 31.7 31.9 31.3 32.8 31.9
Baltimore 31.8 4 6 34.8 34.2 32.0 30.4 31.0
Buffalo 32.5 6 0 32.5 32.5 32.3 32.1 33.2
Carolina 30.8 2 7 29.0 29.2 31.4 30.5 30.8
Chicago 32.0 4 3 32.1 31.6 32.3 31.4 31.0
Cincinnati 32.2 6 4 33.0 32.2 32.6 29.9 31.0
Cleveland 31.7 5 6 32.4 31.6 30.8 33.2 33.7
Dallas 31.0 1 4 31.0 30.9 31.2 30.9 30.7
Denver 30.7 3 6 30.4 30.1 30.9 28.9 29.9
Detroit 32.2 4 2 31.5 31.3 31.8 34.1 34.0
Green Bay 31.7 4 2 31.4 32.4 32.8 29.8 30.6
Houston 32.7 6 2 32.5 31.9 33.4 30.9 31.3
Indianapolis 31.7 5 4 30.3 31.6 32.5 30.2 30.5
Jacksonville 32.1 4 3 32.5 31.4 31.3 32.3 32.1
Kansas City 32.2 8 4 31.9 33.4 33 32.2 29.6
LA Chargers 32.0 6 6 33.3 31.0 31.1 31.0 33.8
LA Rams 31.2 3 4 30.4 30.7 31.5 31.5 30.8
Miami 32.3 5 3 29.5 30.7 32.3 33.5 34.2
Minnesota 32.1 3 1 33.0 32.4 31.9 31.5 31.7
New England 32.6 6 2 31.7 32.2 32.5 35.5 34.3
New Orleans 31.1 3 7 29.9 30.2 31.1 32.6 33.5
NY Giants 30.9 1 5 31.4 31.8 30.6 31.9 31.3
NY Jets 33.6 8 0 31.8 33.3 33.7 33.8 33.2
Oakland 32.4 6 4 34.7 33.4 31.1 34.0 32.1
Philadelphia 31.1 1 6 30.2 30.8 31.6 31.1 31.8
Pittsburgh 31.7 5 6 30.3 30.7 31.9 31.4 32.3
San Francisco 31.5 1 4 30.5 31.3 31.3 33.1 31.4
Seattle 31.4 4 5 32.8 32.8 31.1 29.9 30.5
Tampa Bay 31.0 2 6 32.5 32.2 30.8 31.9 30.7
Tennessee 32.4 6 2 32.8 33.3 32.7 31.6 31.2
Washington 31.1 2 5 32.7 32.5 30.5 31.8 32.0
NFL Average 31.8 4 4 31.8 31.8 31.7 31.8 31.8

Week-By-Week Look

Team W01 W02 W03 W04 W05 W06 W07 W08 W09 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
Ari 31.4 32.7 31.1 30.5 28.8 31.5 37.7 28.8 - 29.5 26.4 31.8 32.7 30.5 28.2 32.7 30.5
Atl 30.4 32.6 32.0 29.2 35.2 30.0 29.8 - 31.4 31.4 29.5 32.0 34.2 32.7 33.1 32.6 30.0
Bal 37.6 29.2 37.7 35.2 31.4 32.0 32.0 32.6 35.2 - 29.2 26.4 28.2 29.5 30.0 31.8 31.4
Buf 34.2 31.8 31.5 32.7 32.0 31.2 32.3 35.6 31.1 30.1 - 33.5 33.6 30.1 30.5 35.6 33.6
Car 29.5 28.2 29.2 - 29.8 31.4 30.4 34.2 30.0 35.2 30.5 30.5 30.0 31.4 32.0 28.2 32.0
Chi 32.7 30.5 33.1 30.0 - 33.6 35.6 30.1 37.6 30.5 31.5 30.5 29.8 32.7 32.7 28.8 31.5
Cin 32.3 34.2 32.6 28.2 33.6 35.2 29.5 30.0 - 32.0 34.2 31.4 37.7 31.8 26.4 31.4 35.2
Cle 35.2 32.0 30.1 26.4 34.2 31.8 30.0 35.2 29.5 28.2 - 29.2 31.2 32.6 37.7 29.2 34.2
Dal 32.6 29.8 30.5 30.5 31.2 33.5 31.4 - 32.0 30.4 28.2 31.4 32.0 30.4 32.3 30.0 29.8
Den 30.5 26.4 34.2 29.5 30.1 32.7 33.1 29.5 31.2 - 31.8 35.2 29.2 28.8 31.4 26.4 31.8
Det 30.1 28.8 35.6 29.5 32.7 - 33.6 30.5 31.5 31.1 32.6 31.1 32.7 33.1 37.6 31.5 32.7
GB 31.1 31.5 31.4 37.6 30.5 28.8 - 32.7 35.6 33.6 30.5 31.5 33.1 28.2 31.1 30.1 30.5
Hou 35.6 32.0 29.8 32.3 29.5 37.6 33.5 33.6 37.7 - 31.4 32.0 31.4 32.3 30.1 30.4 33.5
Ind 29.2 31.4 30.4 31.2 35.6 30.1 37.6 26.4 - 33.5 32.0 33.6 33.5 31.2 29.5 29.8 32.0
Jac 29.8 35.6 32.0 30.1 29.5 29.5 31.2 30.4 - 32.3 35.2 37.6 32.3 32.0 31.4 33.6 31.2
KC 31.8 35.2 28.8 37.7 33.5 35.6 29.2 37.7 31.4 33.1 32.7 - 26.4 34.2 31.8 30.5 26.4
LAC 29.5 37.6 32.7 28.8 26.4 31.4 32.0 - 30.5 26.4 37.7 33.1 35.2 29.2 29.5 34.2 37.7
LAR 26.4 33.1 31.8 31.5 30.5 37.7 28.8 32.7 32.0 30.5 29.5 - 30.5 31.1 30.4 33.1 28.8
Mia 32.0 30.1 26.4 35.6 29.2 31.1 30.5 31.2 30.1 32.7 - 32.3 37.6 35.6 31.5 33.5 37.6
Min 28.8 32.7 37.6 32.7 30.4 33.1 30.1 32.0 30.5 - 31.1 32.7 35.6 30.5 33.6 30.5 31.1
NE 31.2 33.5 30.5 33.6 32.3 29.5 31.1 37.6 32.7 32.0 - 30.1 31.5 33.6 35.2 37.6 30.1
NO 30.0 31.4 28.2 29.8 31.4 - 34.2 31.5 32.7 29.2 30.4 28.2 29.5 30.0 32.6 35.2 32.6
NYG 33.5 29.5 31.2 32.0 32.6 30.4 28.2 31.4 - 28.8 30.0 30.4 31.1 31.4 32.0 32.3 29.5
NYJ 30.5 33.6 31.4 33.5 37.7 32.3 31.5 31.1 33.6 37.6 - 35.6 32.0 37.6 31.2 32.7 35.6
Oak 32.7 37.7 33.6 31.4 31.8 30.5 - 32.3 28.8 31.8 33.1 34.2 29.5 35.2 29.2 37.7 29.5
Phi 28.2 30.0 32.3 32.0 31.5 29.8 32.6 33.5 - 29.5 32.0 29.8 31.4 29.5 32.7 31.2 31.4
Pit 31.4 29.5 30.0 34.2 28.2 29.2 - 31.4 34.2 32.6 33.5 37.7 31.8 26.4 35.6 32.0 29.2
SF 31.5 30.5 29.5 31.8 33.1 32.7 32.7 33.1 26.4 29.8 - 30.0 30.5 37.7 30.5 31.1 32.7
Sea 37.7 31.1 29.5 33.1 32.7 26.4 - 30.5 31.8 32.7 32.7 32.6 28.8 31.5 28.8 29.5 33.1
TB 32.0 30.4 35.2 31.1 - 28.2 31.4 29.2 32.6 31.4 29.8 28.8 32.6 32.0 34.2 29.5 28.2
Ten 33.6 31.2 33.5 30.4 37.6 34.2 31.8 - 29.5 35.6 32.3 31.2 30.1 33.5 29.8 31.4 32.3
Was 33.1 32.3 32.7 - 32.0 32.6 29.5 29.8 28.2 30.0 31.2 29.5 30.4 29.8 33.5 32.0 30.4
Avg 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.7 31.8 31.8 31.8 32.0 31.8 31.5 31.5 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8