Ultimate Strength of Schedule, DL - Footballguys

An in-depth look at the strength of schedule for defensive linemen

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the 16 best offenses while Defense B faced the 16 worst offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown 
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).

EXPLANATION OF USOS TABLES

Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

The "2018" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value can be used to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value can be used to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W01" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W05 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team.

(Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule

ULTIMATE STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE - DEFENSIVE LINEMEN

Team
2018
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona 23.5 3 8 24.2 23.8 24.0 22.9 21.6
Atlanta 24.8 1 2 24.6 24.6 24.9 24.2 25.9
Baltimore 24.6 5 4 26.5 25.9 24.2 24.9 23.8
Buffalo 24.7 4 4 22.0 21.7 25.3 26.3 25.8
Carolina 24.3 2 4 23.5 23.0 25.0 23.6 24.2
Chicago 23.9 2 7 22.9 23.7 24.9 22.5 22.5
Cincinnati 24.7 4 2 25.4 24.2 25.3 22.3 24.0
Cleveland 25.1 4 2 25.6 24.4 25.1 25.8 25.0
Dallas 24.9 4 5 22.9 25.6 25.5 25.4 25.0
Denver 24.4 4 3 22.2 23.7 25.6 23.4 22.3
Detroit 23.7 2 6 25.9 25.0 22.9 25.0 23.4
Green Bay 24.2 3 5 24.2 25.2 24.9 22.7 24.2
Houston 25.1 6 3 23.7 24.9 26.3 25.0 23.9
Indianapolis 25.4 5 4 24.8 27.3 25.8 27.1 23.0
Jacksonville 26.4 9 3 23.7 24.6 27.0 24.6 28.7
Kansas City 24.2 4 3 24.1 25.1 25.2 22.0 21.6
LA Chargers 24.7 6 3 25.5 24.6 23.8 24.5 26.4
LA Rams 23.9 2 5 23.0 22.5 24.3 23.5 24.4
Miami 25.2 6 3 22.7 23.9 25.8 24.8 24.5
Minnesota 24.0 2 3 24.4 23.5 24.6 23.7 23.7
New England 25.2 6 4 28.0 27.0 24.0 25.8 26.3
New Orleans 24.0 2 5 23.8 24.3 23.6 26.0 25.8
NY Giants 25.4 5 2 28.0 27.1 24.6 25.9 25.0
NY Jets 25.5 7 4 24.4 25.2 24.6 27.5 27.7
Oakland 24.7 6 4 24.7 23.8 24.2 26.1 26.4
Philadelphia 25.1 4 6 25.0 23.6 24.4 27.2 28.1
Pittsburgh 24.4 3 2 25.7 24.3 23.2 25.3 25.7
San Francisco 23.5 3 8 24.9 24.4 22.6 24.1 21.8
Seattle 24.1 2 4 25.6 24.9 23.0 24.5 25.9
Tampa Bay 24.2 2 3 24.9 24.1 23.9 24.9 23.5
Tennessee 26.2 7 2 27.2 26.3 25.1 24.9 25.9
Washington 24.5 3 5 24.8 25.0 25.3 22.4 22.8
NFL Average 24.6 4 4 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6

Week-By-Week Look

Team W01 W02 W03 W04 W05 W06 W07 W08 W09 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
Ari 28.8 21.7 21.9 21.7 24.7 21.7 28.8 24.7 - 27.2 21.9 21.4 21.1 25.8 21.3 21.7 21.7
Atl 22.5 25.5 25.7 23.2 26.4 26.2 21.4 - 28.8 23.8 26.1 25.7 23.1 21.1 25.9 25.5 26.2
Bal 27.5 23.2 28.8 26.4 23.8 21.4 25.7 25.5 26.4 - 23.2 21.9 21.3 27.2 26.2 21.4 23.8
Buf 23.1 21.4 21.7 21.1 21.4 33.8 27.5 28.2 21.9 24.9 - 24.3 23.5 24.9 25.8 28.2 23.5
Car 26.1 21.3 23.2 - 21.4 28.8 22.5 23.1 26.2 26.4 25.8 21.7 26.2 23.8 25.7 21.3 25.7
Chi 21.1 21.7 25.9 26.2 - 23.5 28.2 24.9 27.5 25.8 21.7 25.8 21.4 21.7 21.1 24.7 21.7
Cin 27.5 23.1 25.5 21.3 23.5 26.4 27.2 26.2 - 25.7 23.1 23.8 28.8 21.4 21.9 23.8 26.4
Cle 26.4 25.7 24.9 21.9 23.1 21.4 26.2 26.4 27.2 21.3 - 23.2 33.8 25.5 28.8 23.2 23.1
Dal 25.5 21.4 21.7 25.8 33.8 24.3 28.8 - 21.4 22.5 21.3 28.8 25.7 22.5 27.5 26.2 21.4
Den 21.7 21.9 23.1 27.2 24.9 21.7 25.9 27.2 33.8 - 21.4 26.4 23.2 24.7 23.8 21.9 21.4
Det 24.9 24.7 28.2 26.1 21.1 - 23.5 21.7 21.7 21.9 25.5 21.9 21.7 25.9 27.5 21.7 21.1
GB 21.9 21.7 28.8 27.5 25.8 24.7 - 21.7 28.2 23.5 21.7 21.7 25.9 21.3 21.9 24.9 25.8
Hou 28.2 21.4 21.4 27.5 26.1 27.5 24.3 23.5 28.8 - 28.8 21.4 23.8 27.5 24.9 22.5 24.3
Ind 23.2 28.8 22.5 33.8 28.2 24.9 27.5 21.9 - 24.3 21.4 23.5 24.3 33.8 26.1 21.4 21.4
Jac 21.4 28.2 21.4 24.9 27.2 26.1 33.8 22.5 - 27.5 26.4 27.5 27.5 21.4 28.8 23.5 33.8
KC 21.4 26.4 24.7 28.8 24.3 28.2 23.2 28.8 23.8 25.9 21.7 - 21.9 23.1 21.4 21.7 21.9
LAC 27.2 27.5 21.7 24.7 21.9 23.8 21.4 - 21.7 21.9 28.8 25.9 26.4 23.2 27.2 23.1 28.8
LAR 21.9 25.9 21.4 21.7 21.7 28.8 24.7 21.1 25.7 21.7 27.2 - 25.8 21.9 22.5 25.9 24.7
Mia 21.4 24.9 21.9 28.2 23.2 21.9 25.8 33.8 24.9 21.1 - 27.5 27.5 28.2 21.7 24.3 27.5
Min 24.7 21.1 27.5 21.7 22.5 25.9 24.9 25.7 25.8 - 21.9 21.1 28.2 21.7 23.5 25.8 21.9
NE 33.8 24.3 25.8 23.5 27.5 27.2 21.9 27.5 21.1 21.4 - 24.9 21.7 23.5 26.4 27.5 24.9
NO 26.2 23.8 21.3 21.4 28.8 - 23.1 21.7 21.7 23.2 22.5 21.3 26.1 26.2 25.5 26.4 25.5
NYG 24.3 26.1 33.8 25.7 25.5 22.5 21.3 28.8 - 24.7 26.2 22.5 21.9 28.8 21.4 27.5 26.1
NYJ 25.8 23.5 23.8 24.3 28.8 27.5 21.7 21.9 23.5 27.5 - 28.2 21.4 27.5 33.8 21.1 28.2
Oak 21.7 28.8 23.5 23.8 21.4 21.7 - 27.5 24.7 21.4 25.9 23.1 27.2 26.4 23.2 28.8 27.2
Phi 21.3 26.2 27.5 21.4 21.7 21.4 25.5 24.3 - 26.1 25.7 21.4 28.8 26.1 21.7 33.8 28.8
Pit 23.8 27.2 26.2 23.1 21.3 23.2 - 23.8 23.1 25.5 24.3 28.8 21.4 21.9 28.2 25.7 23.2
SF 21.7 25.8 27.2 21.4 25.9 21.1 21.7 25.9 21.9 21.4 - 26.2 21.7 28.8 21.7 21.9 21.7
Sea 28.8 21.9 26.1 25.9 21.7 21.9 - 25.8 21.4 21.7 21.1 25.5 24.7 21.7 24.7 27.2 25.9
TB 25.7 22.5 26.4 21.9 - 21.3 23.8 23.2 25.5 28.8 21.4 24.7 25.5 25.7 23.1 26.1 21.3
Ten 23.5 33.8 24.3 22.5 27.5 23.1 21.4 - 26.1 28.2 27.5 33.8 24.9 24.3 21.4 28.8 27.5
Was 25.9 27.5 21.1 - 25.7 25.5 26.1 21.4 21.3 26.2 33.8 26.1 22.5 21.4 24.3 21.4 22.5
Avg 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.5 24.7 24.6 24.9 24.9 24.8 24.3 24.5 24.7 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.6