It's time for rookie drafts and we have enough data in the form of early drafts and rankings to put together a shopping list. The depth at running back, quarterback, and wide receiver is creating buying opportunities that should interest you whether you can take advantage of them by staying put or moving around in your draft to maximize the value of your draft capital.
Lamar Jackson (QB-BAL)
Jackson by far has the largest discrepancy between draft capital and range of expected value. He’s the best running threat at quarterback since Michael Vick and should be a better and higher volume passer than Vick. He also has the quarterback coach (James Urban) and offensive coordinator (Marty Mornhinweg) who were the architects of Vick’s #1 overall quarterback fantasy season in 2010. Unless Jackson can’t stay healthy, he is going to have a stretch of QB1 seasons, the only question is whether he’ll be an elite fantasy QB1 or merely a boom/bust mid-low QB1.
Target area/triggers: It’s possible that Jackson is the QB1 off of the board, so you can’t wait to see Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold go off of the board, however you shouldn’t feel hemmed into trading ahead of anyone who needs a quarterback because it’s not certain or even likely that Jackson will be their QB1. A mid second round pick should get you Jackson - right around the time the last of Dante Pettis, Michael Gallup, and Anthony Miller are off of the board.
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