No position is more unpredictable in fantasy football than kickers. Year after year after year, no position has a lower correlation between where they're drafted before the season and where they finish after the season. No position has a lower correlation between how they score in one week and how they score in the next. No position has a lower correlation between projected points and actual points.
In addition, placekicker is the position that has the smallest spread between the best players and the middle-of-the-pack players for fantasy. Finally, most fantasy GMs will only carry one kicker at a time, which means there are a dozen or more starting kickers sitting around on waivers at any given time. Given all of this, it rarely makes sense to devote resources to the position. Instead, GMs are best served by rotating through whichever available kicker has the best weekly matchup.
Every week, I'll rank the situations each kicker finds himself in (ignoring the talent of the kicker himself) to help you find perfectly startable production off the waiver wire.
WEEK 14 RESULTS
Mike Badgley (4 FG attempts, 4 FGs, 2 XPs, 14 points)
In Week 14, Badgley reinforced the wisdom of simply getting a kicker on the best offense you can find and also epitomizes why it's often unwise to invest resources in the position. During fantasy drafts, Badgley was backing up Adam Vinatieri on the Indianapolis Colts. He was unsigned until October 11th and was cut again on October 30th before finally earning a long-term roster spot. He's shaping up to be one of the top kickers for the fantasy playoffs and he still isn't owned in 50% of fantasy leagues. Badgley also demonstrates how fungible kickers really are; you'd think a player who spent so much of the season unsigned would be bad, but he ranks 7th in the league in FG% and just set a franchise record with a 59-yard kick this week. He also led all kickers in fantasy scoring in week 14.
Chris Boswell (2 FG attempts, 0 FGs, 3 XPs, 3 points)
Boswell had a promising day derailed by a pair of short field goal misses, hindered in part by the terrible field in Oakland Coliseum. Just like that, a potential 6th-place finish instead winds up at 24th for the week.
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