No position is more unpredictable in fantasy football than kickers. Year after year after year, no position has a lower correlation between where they're drafted before the season and where they finish after the season. No position has a lower correlation between how they score in one week and how they score in the next. No position has a lower correlation between projected points and actual points.
In addition, placekicker is the position that has the smallest spread between the best players and the middle-of-the-pack players for fantasy. Finally, most fantasy GMs will only carry one kicker at a time, which means there are a dozen or more starting kickers sitting around on waivers at any given time. Given all of this, it rarely makes sense to devote resources to the position. Instead, GMs are best served by rotating through whichever available kicker has the best weekly matchup.
Every week, I'll rank the situations each kicker finds himself in (ignoring the talent of the kicker himself) to help you find perfectly startable production off the waiver wire.
WEEK 13 RESULTS
Sebastian Janikowski (1 FG attempt, 1 FG, 4 XPs, 7 points)
Perhaps a surprise as our top pick last week, the optimism around Janikowski proved well-founded as his Seahawks finished week 13 as the highest-scoring team. Unfortunately, the good process led to middling results as the Seahawks scored "too many" touchdowns and Janikowski missed two extra points, to boot, finishing the week tied for 13th.
Graham Gano (1 FG attempt, 1 FG, 2 XPs, 5 points)
Another example of a good process leading to a bad outcome. Before last week, Tampa had intercepted one pass all season. Coming into Sunday, they had just three interceptions on the season. Against the Panthers, they picked off Cam Newton four times, more than doubling their season total. Three of those interceptions came with the Panthers in Tampa territory, two of them coming with the team already in field goal range. As a result, Gano was limited to just one field goal attempt for the game and his five points finished the week tied for 21st.
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