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Carson Wentz: Injuries, Regression, No Worries? - Footballguys

A detailed look at Carson Wentz' fantasy prospects in 2018.

from most valuable player to fairly valued in a season

Carson Wentz was living every football player's dream last season. The second-year pro took a significant leap forward and was playing at an MVP level through 13 weeks. Not only was his individual play raising eyebrows, but it also played a big part in his team's success – the Eagles were on route to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Unfortunately, in a key NFC matchup against the Rams, Wentz tore multiple ligaments and was lost for the season. As you all know, the Eagles went on to win the Super Bowl without Wentz, a startling achievement given how well Wentz played before his injury.

Now, fantasy managers throughout the world are wondering what to expect from Wentz in 2018? Was last year a reasonable baseline? Is he rushing back from a significant injury? If you do draft Wentz as a No. 1, does it force you to reach for an early No. 2 as insurance?

  • Wentz proved last year he can be a high-impact fantasy starter
  • The Eagles personnel won a Super Bowl with Nick Foles playing under center
  • Wentz's recovery appears to be ahead of schedule
  • Before the injury, Wentz's play was just on the cusp of unsustainable – unless he's really on the level of Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees

Last year, Wentz was the 18th quarterback drafted on average, in the 11th round. This year, he's being drafted 7th at the position in the middle of the sixth round. The good news is Wentz's most likely year-end finish justifies his current price tag. The bad news is Wentz's recovery from multiple ligament tears requires a leap of faith because he's unlikely to see any preseason action, at all. You're better off passing on Wentz this year; the downside is greater than the upside.

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