The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position.
Players Receiving 4 Votes
Kenyan Drake, Miami
Chad Parsons: Kenyan Drake was a glaring dynasty sell this offseason (if not before the deadline in 2017) and now presents an avoid-player at his ADP cost for 2018 redraft. Drake enjoyed life without Jay Ajayi down the stretch last year, posting 90+ total yards in 6-of-9 games. My approach to gauging a player's value to the team is to see what the franchise does the following offseason to gauge believe and support. Miami brought in Frank Gore in free agency and drafted Kalen Ballage. Gore has logged at least 250 carries in each of the last seven seasons and has more than 14,000 career rushing yards. While well into his 30s, Gore was not brought in to merely be a position room player/coach. At worst Gore is a strong 1B to Drake's lead status, pecking away at Drake's ceiling. Ballage, while on Day 3, was one of the few backs remaining on the board to be a challenger to significant work on an NFL depth chart. As a prototypically sized back with strong athleticism and receiving skills, Ballage profiles as the closest thing to David Johnson since the Northern Iowa product entered the NFL. Drake's ADP assumes neither Gore or Ballage will be a challenger to Drake's workload, which is a risky bet.
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