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On Second Thought: Running Back Edition - Footballguys

How my perspective on the running position has changed throughout the summer.

It’s hard to believe we’re a week away from the NFL regular season. After spending more than four months focusing on every bit of minutiae, every tidbit, every coach’s quote, and adjusting our rankings and projections, accordingly, a lot can change from our original expectations. Here’s a quick look at some of the most important changes from my initial rankings back in early May.

On Second Thought...

David Johnson (ARI) will not be a top-4 fantasy running back this year

The biggest and boldest change as it veers from near-universal consensus. Johnson is talented, and he remains a first-round choice. However, the state of the Cardinals offensive line, new coaching staff and offensive system, and uncertainties at every other offensive position make Johnson a risky bet to pick up where he left off in 2016.

Alex Collins (BAL) is a perfect RB2 on draft day

Collins' path to relevance had its ebbs and flows, but the Ravens treated him like a workhorse last year once he got his shot. The team did nothing in free agency or the draft to challenge Collins' playing time, and have treated him with kid gloves in the preseason.

LeSean McCoy (BUF) was overvalued before the allegations; he's untouchable now

I wasn't high on McCoy before his ex-girlfriend's horrifying domestic abuse allegations surfaced. Even though his legal status won't hamper his availability for Week 1, we have no idea if it'll be a factor later in the season. Meanwhile, the Bills are bereft of talent and lost three linemen during the offseason.

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