Eliminator Pool: Week 6 - Foorballguys

Footballguys.com Staff Pick One Team to Win Each Week in a Eliminator / Survivor Pool Format

Over the past few years, we have given the subscribers of Footballguys.com some help in playing office pools, one of the most popular methods to follow the NFL aside from fantasy football leagues. For the past few seasons, the staff members have done the Staff Confidence Pool Challenge, where numerous staffers try and pick the winners each week with a confidence ranking, and Jeff Pasquino’s “For The Win” column where Jeff attempts to pick each and every NFL game against the Las Vegas spread. Both of these have been very popular features, so this year Footballguys is adding a combination of the two called the “Against the Spread” Challenge and also the Eliminator Challenge, where staffers have to pick a team to win each week. Just one? That sounds easy, but here is the catch – you can only pick the team you choose in a given week once all season long. Many contests and pools out there get pretty big, so an Eliminator (or Survivor) Pool can go 16 or 17 weeks.

Jeff Pasquino has provided some insight into this kind of contest with two preseason articles. The first one that describes this kind of contest along with some advice on how to pick a team each week:

Survivor Pool Strategy

The second article is rather interesting, which describes Jeff’s preseason plan to get all the way through 17 weeks. Will it work? We are about to find out.

I Will Survive

This pool will run all season long, but to keep participation up, the pool will crown the staffer with the best W-L record for the season (which means that everyone in the pool will continue to make picks every week).

LAST WEEK'S RESULTS

NFL Week 5 saw a few upsets, with two of them taking down four of the staff. The Tennessee loss in Buffalo cost Justin Howe and Andrew Garda (again, sorry), while Denver's loss at the Jets cost both Alex Miglio and Sean Settle. These four losses brought the total for the 16 staffers to 27, but Devin Knotts still remains undefeated (with a selection of Cleveland, no less). Half of the staff (8 of 16) are just one step behind at 4-1, and the fun is just starting with only five games behind us with 12 more weeks to go. Now let us take a look at the picks for Week 6.

THIS WEEK'S PICK SUMMARY

Here are the picks for this week:

Staff Member
Record
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Devin Knotts
5-0
BAL
DEN
CLE
LAC
NE
MIN
Aaron Rudnicki
4-1
BAL
LAR
MIN
GB
CAR
HOU
Andy Hicks
4-1
BAL
LAR
MIN
LAC
NE
GB
Ari Ingel
4-1
BAL
LAR
MIN
JAC
NE
GB
Dave Larkin
4-1
BAL
NO
JAC
LAC
CAR
MIN
Jeff Haseley
4-1
BAL
LAR
MIN
LAC
NE
GB
Mark Wimer
4-1
BAL
LAR
MIN
LAC
NO
GB
Matt Bitonti
4-1
NE
DEN
MIN
LAC
CAR
GB
Jeff Pasquino
4-1
NO
LAR
PHI
LAC
CAR
HOU
Alessandro Miglio
3-2
NO
LAR
KC
JAC
DEN
MIN
Bear Heiser
3-2
NO
LAR
KC
ATL
LAC
HOU
James Brimacombe
3-2
NO
LAR
MIN
GB
CIN
HOU
William Grant
3-2
NO
SF
MIN
LAC
NE
HOU
Sean Settle
2-3
NO
LAC
JAC
NE
DEN
HOU
Justin Howe
2-3
NO
LAC
JAC
GB
TEN
MIN
Andrew Garda
1-4
DET
BAL
HOU
SEA
TEN
GB

DISCUSSION

The picks have lacked consensus in recent weeks, but that is not the case here in Week 6. Just three teams are favored by more than a touchdown as home favorites (the Rams are also favored by over a touchdown, but they are on the road in Denver), and these three teams summarize the staff picks for this week. Both Houston (six picks) and Green Bay (also six) tied for the top spot, as the Texans host the Bills while the Packers get the 49ers on Monday Night Football. Minnesota is the third option, with four staffers taking the Vikings at home against Arizona. It is clearly a tougher week with just a few big favorites, as many of the better teams are either facing each other or are narrow favorites on the road. Barring upsets, this could be a quiet week - but anything can happen, and often does.

Please note a few things: We will be doing these picks every week, win or lose, to keep it entertaining all season long. Normally a Survivor/Eliminator pool would end once all but one player lost once, but to provide our subscribers with more perspectives, everyone will pick every week even if they lose. That said, we will still try and honor the spirit of an Eliminator / Survivor Pool, trying to win every week and not re-use any teams during the year.

COMMENTARY

Each week, contestants are invited to submit any comments that they might have about their picks. If they submit them early enough, we post them with the article. If not, the comments will be within the section below.

Jeff Pasquino: Going back to my preseason plan, the summary makes sense to me that this is the right spot to take Houston. It is not an attractive week to take any of the other bigger favorites this week. The Packers may be favored at home, but they are not playing that well so far this season and are lucky to be 2-0-1 at home with a narrow comeback over the Bears and a cake walk over Buffalo for their other victory. The Rams are very good, but Denver can be tough to play, plus I used them already. That would leave just Minnesota, and I keep thinking I need to save them for an ugly Week 11 - but that might warrant some reevaluation soon. Regardless, this is still the ideal time to take Houston, hosting Buffalo. That was my thought in August and I am sticking with it.

The Pick: Houston Texans

Good luck this weekend!

Questions, suggestions, and comments are always welcome to pasquino@footballguys.com